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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ $168 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $176 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $228 | 0% | −1 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $120 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $148 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $184 | 100% | +38 pts | +31 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $136 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $160 | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $192 | 100% | +33 pts | +69 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $200 | 100% | +46 pts | +60 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $264 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $244 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $100 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $212 | 100% | +61 pts | +57 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 176d | Nifteguy | ↑ $228 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,200 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 177d | bean1252 fills | ↓ $168 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,474 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 192d | mazw8 | ↓ $168 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | +$96 +8.9% | 4 |
| 198d |  CoinTrick | ↑ $184 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,383 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 206d | shcc | ↓ $176 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,757 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ $168 means the market gives it about 0%.