Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ $640 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $610 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $620 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $720 | 0% | −13 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $600 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $630 | 0% | −1 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $590 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $650 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $710 | 100% | +52 pts | +54 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $700 | 100% | +51 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $670 | 100% | +37 pts | +52 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $660 | 100% | +50 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $680 | 100% | +23 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $690 | 100% | +47 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 178d | bean125 | ↓ $610 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,150 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 182d | orderfill3 fills | ↓ $640 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,480 | +$58 +0.8% | 4 |
| 184d |  olegs2 fills | ↓ $640 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,482 | +$232 +6.7% | 4 |
| 189d | orderfill | ↓ $620 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,299 | +$13 +1.0% | 4 |
Lavincey100 sharesWhat will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit in April 2026?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ $640 means the market gives it about 0%.