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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $780 | 0% | −8 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $790 | 0% | −3 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $730 | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $800 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $700 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $690 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $680 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $720 | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $710 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $670 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $760 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $770 | 100% | +42 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $760 | 100% | +24 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $770 | 0% | −85 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $750 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $770 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $740 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $750 | 100% | +17 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $820 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $810 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $740 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $770 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67d | Untimely-Kiwi2 fills | ↓ $730 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,078 | +$422 +14% | 4 |
| 81d | cryptoincome | ↑ $790 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | +$75 +6.5% | 4 |
| 83d |  TimRob | ↓ $670 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$68 +6.7% | 4 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ $780 means the market gives it about 0%.