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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ $720 | 0% | −2 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $760 | 0% | −1 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $710 | 0% | −1 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $680 | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $700 | 0% | −1 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $730 | 100% | +70 pts | +70 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $770 | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $670 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $690 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $780 | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $800 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $790 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $740 | 100% | +25 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $750 | 100% | +16 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84d |  OraculumNobius | ↑ $770 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,557 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 84d | IRDB | ↑ $770 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,389 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 85d | NOOBPREDICTOR | ↑ $780 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,327 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 85d |  Gurupolimarket | ↓ $710 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,065 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 85d | Gurupolimarket | ↓ $700 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,617 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 85d | Gurupolimarket | ↓ $690 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,123 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 85d | Gurupolimarket | ↓ $680 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,112 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 85d | Gurupolimarket | ↑ $790 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,420 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 85d |  olegs | ↓ $720 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,414 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 85d | olegs | ↓ $710 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,064 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 86d | olegs2 fills | ↑ $770 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,490 | +$29 +0.4% | 4 |
| 86d |  FFIE.2 fills | ↓ $710 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,271 | +$614 +12% | 4 |
| 87d | olegs | ↑ $780 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,978 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 87d | olegs | ↑ $790 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,403 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 88d | chefradish | ↑ $770 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | −$28 −2.3% | — |
| 89d |  TimRob2 fills | ↓ $710 | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,675 | −$585 −13% | — |
| 89d | TimRob2 fills | ↓ $710 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,035 | +$305 +7.6% | 4 |
| 89d | olegs2 fills | ↓ $700 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,605 | +$153 +4.3% | 4 |
| 89d | olegs3 fills | ↓ $690 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,867 | +$42 +1.1% | 4 |
| 89d | olegs3 fills | ↓ $680 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,666 | +$87 +0.7% | 4 |
| 90d | cryptoincome2 fills | ↓ $680 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,478 | +$32 +0.7% | 4 |
| 91d | Suirenzirou | ↓ $690 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | +$21 +2.0% | 4 |
| 93d | TimRob2 fills | ↓ $690 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,680 | −$77 −2.9% | — |
| 94d |  VdeVolsa | ↓ $670 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,432 | −$10 −0.7% | — |
| 95d | Untimely-Kiwi | ↓ $710 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | +$214 +17% | 4 |
| 95d | Untimely-Kiwi2 fills | ↓ $720 | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $2,127 | +$840 +39% | 4 |
| 95d | TimRob | ↓ $700 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,239 | −$91 −7.3% | — |
| 96d | TimRob2 fills | ↓ $720 | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $2,766 | +$1,133 +41% | 4 |
| 99d | sdhyky2 fills | ↓ $720 | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $3,326 | −$939 −28% | — |
| 99d | TimRob | ↓ $670 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,322 | −$40 −1.7% | — |
| 99d | TimRob2 fills | ↓ $680 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,246 | −$149 −2.8% | — |
| 101d | TimRob2 fills | ↓ $670 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,157 | +$47 +2.2% | 4 |
| 101d | TimRob2 fills | ↓ $680 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,680 | +$246 +5.2% | 4 |
| 103d | sdhyky | ↓ $710 | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,867 | −$388 −14% | — |
| 103d | Untimely-Kiwi | ↓ $730 | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $1,280 | −$1,280 −100% | 4 |
| 105d | sdhyky2 fills | ↓ $720 | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $5,577 | +$1,912 +34% | 4 |
| 105d | sdhyky2 fills | ↓ $710 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $4,060 | +$815 +20% | 4 |
| 107d | trx1 | ↓ $700 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$151 +15% | 4 |
| 107d | trx1 | ↓ $710 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,985 | +$510 +26% | 4 |
| 108d | jjjjjsda2 fills | ↓ $670 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,986 | −$177 −3.6% | — |
| 109d | jjjjjsda | ↓ $680 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,408 | −$62 −4.4% | — |
| 109d |  KVBA7 | ↓ $700 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,242 | +$458 +14% | 4 |
| 110d | KaZaMaKung | ↓ $720 | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | +$572 +50% | 4 |
| 111d | cryptoincome | ↓ $670 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | +$49 +2.6% | 4 |
| 114d | cryptoincome | ↑ $800 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,386 | +$73 +5.3% | 4 |
KOMZY4,018 shares
labistiiia404 sharesWhat will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in July 2026?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ $720 means the market gives it about 0%.