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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ $740 | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $750 | 100% | +30 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $780 | 0% | −7 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $790 | 0% | −2 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $730 | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $800 | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $810 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $720 | 0% | −3 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $770 | 100% | +52 pts | +46 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $700 | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $760 | 0% | −39 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $710 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $750 | 0% | −4 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $770 | 0% | −64 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $770 | 100% | +23 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $760 | 100% | +19 pts | +22 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $820 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $770 | 100% | +22 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $760 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $760 | 100% | +21 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $760 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $830 | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $770 | 100% | +19 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $770 | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $760 | 100% | +9 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $760 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $760 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $770 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $770 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $760 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $760 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24d |  Gurupolimarket | ↓ $740 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,167 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 24d | Gurupolimarket | ↑ $810 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,379 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 36d | cryptoincome | ↑ $810 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$13 +1.3% | 4 |
| 49d | XA057 | ↑ $790 | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | +$384 +38% | 4 |
| 51d | botparadise | ↓ $750 | BuyNo56¢ → 0¢ | $1,133 | −$1,133 −100% | 4 |
| 53d | cryptoincome | ↓ $700 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,135 | +$39 +3.4% | 4 |
| 53d |  FFIE. | ↓ $740 | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,538 | +$513 +33% | 4 |
| 53d |  TimRob | ↓ $750 | BuyYes44¢ → 100¢ | $1,354 | +$1,726 +127% | 4 |
KOMZY500 sharesWhat will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in September 2026?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ $740 means the market gives it about 0%.