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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ $405 | 0% | −23 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $338 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $548 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $645 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $465 | 100% | +2 pts | +41 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $375 | 0% | −2 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $608 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $495 | 0% | −1 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $428 | 100% | +12 pts | +36 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $578 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $510 | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $525 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $480 | 100% | 0 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $450 | 100% | +3 pts | +45 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 266d | pelik | ↓ $405 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,744 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 266d | MistahFox2 fills | ↑ $578 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,517 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 266d | MistahFox2 fills | ↑ $608 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,684 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 266d | Freelist2 fills | ↑ $525 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,958 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 266d | Freelist | ↑ $510 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,602 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 269d | Albert 1953 | ↓ $405 | SellNo73¢ → 100¢ | $2,680 | −$970 −36% | — |
| 270d | polyproguy2 fills | ↓ $338 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,195 | +$39 +0.5% | 4 |
| 274d | allen1142 fills | ↓ $338 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,126 | +$116 +3.7% | 4 |
| 274d | Albert 1953 | ↓ $405 | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $2,258 | +$911 +40% | 4 |
| 280d | dfdsdb | ↑ $645 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,265 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 280d | dfdsdb | ↑ $645 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,265 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 |
| 280d | vdfxjb | ↑ $645 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,275 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 |
| 280d | vrttrgsedfv | ↑ $645 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,350 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 |
| 289d | zxc368 | ↓ $428 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,069 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 289d | MistahFox2 fills | ↓ $428 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,631 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 293d |  WishRealm | ↓ $338 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,137 | +$84 +7.4% | 4 |
| 293d |  FortuneFrost | ↓ $338 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | +$79 +7.4% | 4 |
| 295d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | ↓ $465 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,142 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 295d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | ↓ $450 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,389 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 295d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | ↓ $480 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,267 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 295d | gagagougou2 fills | ↓ $465 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,504 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 295d | gagagougou | ↓ $480 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,565 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 295d | gagagougou | ↓ $450 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,059 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in January 2026?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ $405 means the market gives it about 0%.