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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ $300 | 100% | +42 pts | +93 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $285 | 0% | −1 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $270 | 0% | −11 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $315 | 100% | +37 pts | +85 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $390 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $450 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $360 | 100% | +44 pts | +46 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $465 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $345 | 100% | +66 pts | +71 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $435 | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $375 | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $330 | 100% | +83 pts | +86 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $405 | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $420 | 100% | +46 pts | — | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92d | Venerated-Blame | ↓ $315 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,520 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 115d | ↑ $390 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,551 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in July 2026?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ $300 means the market gives it about 100%.