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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other iPhone | 100% | +23 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| MacBook | 0% | −31 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| iPhone SE | 0% | −26 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| iPad | 0% | −26 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Glasses/Headset | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Airtag | 0% | −36 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Apple Watch | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HomePod | 0% | −41 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Airpods | 0% | −30 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| iMac | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 611d |  willis1111 | iPad | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,360 | +$28 +2.0% | 20 |
| 611d |  KimJonEn2 fills | MacBook | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,690 | +$157 +5.8% | 20 |
| 611d |  Nucclear | Other iPhone | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | +$10 +1.0% | 20 |
| 611d |  Big.Chungus | iPhone SE | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,535 | +$171 +11% | 20 |
| 611d |  414B | iPhone SE | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,342 | +$154 +11% | 20 |
| 611d | Cbarbhwux | Other iPhone | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,299 | +$295 +13% | 20 |
| 611d | elkamello | iPhone SE | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,423 | +$207 +15% | 20 |
| 611d |  0xloren | Airtag | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 21 |
| 612d |  OneChaos | MacBook | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$232 +23% | 26 |
| 612d | KimJonEn | Glasses/Headset | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$100 +5.3% | 21 |
| 612d | Lakshmi | iPhone SE | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$297 +15% | 22 |
| 613d | TEEZ | Other iPhone | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$696 +32% | 24 |
| 613d | lijialijia2020 | iPhone SE | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $2,382 | −$2,382 −100% | 27 |
| 613d |  uncleroger | iPhone SE | SellNo66¢ → 100¢ | $1,315 | −$685 −52% | — |
| 613d | Bink_7 | iPhone SE | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $1,822 | −$1,822 −100% | 27 |
| 613d |  BabyYoda12 | iPad | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $1,206 | −$1,206 −100% | 26 |
| 614d |  aenews2 | iPhone SE | BuyYes78¢ → 0¢ | $9,299 | −$9,299 −100% | 24 |
| 614d | Nucclear | iPhone SE | BuyYes78¢ → 0¢ | $1,560 | −$1,560 −100% | 24 |
| 614d | KimJonEn | iMac | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,532 | +$47 +3.1% | 21 |
| 614d | II90 | Other iPhone | SellNo71¢ → 0¢ | $61,771 | +$61,771 +100% | — |
| 614d | TYH88 | HomePod | SellYes20¢ → 0¢ | $10,104 | +$10,104 +100% | — |
| 614d | TYH88 | Airtag | SellYes18¢ → 0¢ | $15,480 | +$15,480 +100% | — |
| 614d | TYH88 | HomePod | BuyYes20¢ → 0¢ | $10,200 | −$10,200 −100% | 38 |
| 614d | II90 | Other iPhone | BuyNo71¢ → 0¢ | $61,770 | −$61,770 −100% | 25 |
| 614d | LUNA512 | Airtag | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $71,380 | +$14,620 +20% | 23 |
| 615d | friendlyrobot | iPhone SE | BuyYes81¢ → 0¢ | $2,927 | −$2,927 −100% | 21 |
This is a market group over which products Apple will launch during their February 19 launch event.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Other iPhone means the market gives it about 100%.
