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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Airtag | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| iPhone Air | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| HomePod | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Apple TV | 0% | −57 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| iPhone SE | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Apple Watch | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Airpods | 100% | −1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Other iPhone | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| iPad Air | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| MacBook Air | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Glasses/Headset | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| iMac | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Other iPad | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Studio Display | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Other MacBook | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 409d | Smurfcat | iPhone SE | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,500 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 409d | toobit | iPad Air | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,096 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 409d | toobit | iMac | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,400 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 409d | toobit | MacBook Air | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,400 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 409d |  noreasapa | Apple TV | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,900 | +$100 +2.0% | 20 |
| 409d |  scout | HomePod | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,584 | +$36 +1.0% | 20 |
| 409d |  Ahpo | Airtag | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,096 | +$31 +1.0% | 20 |
| 409d | megaelephant21 | HomePod | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,530 | +$92 +2.0% | 20 |
| 409d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | HomePod | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,325 | +$47 +2.0% | 20 |
| 409d | megaelephant21 | Airtag | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,009 | +$125 +4.2% | 20 |
| 409d |  d1namiiit | Glasses/Headset | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,002 | +$41 +2.1% | 20 |
| 409d | displaynym | Airtag | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,542 | +$125 +4.9% | 20 |
| 409d |  AgricultureSecretary | iPhone Air | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,931 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 409d | Emocje | Other iPhone | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,500 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 409d | Emocje | Apple Watch | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,000 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 409d |  Slowroasted | Airpods | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,030 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 409d | Ahpo | Airpods | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 409d | ambidex25 | iPhone Air | BuyYes100¢ | $1,028 | +$5 +0.5% | 20 |
Apple has scheduled a launch event for September 9, 2025, at 1 PM ET. (https://www.cnbc.com/2025/08/26/apple-announces-iphone-launch-on-sept-9-.html) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces the above-specified product during this event. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple products are released, each relevant market may resolve to "Yes". This market may not resolve to "No" until the September 9 launch event is concluded. If this event does not occur by September 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be an official feed of the event and information from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Airtag means the market gives it about 0%.