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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 - 9:15PM ET | 100% | +78 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Before 9PM ET | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 9:15 - 9:30PM ET | 0% | −60 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 9:30 - 9:45PM ET | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 9:45 - 10PM ET | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 10 - 10:15PM ET | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| After 10:15PM ET | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
bjprolo100 sharesThe State of the Union address is scheduled to take place on February 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the time (ET) Donald Trump delivers the 2026 State of the Union address. The State of the Union will be considered to have begun at the time Donald Trump begins speaking. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the earlier bracket. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 9 - 9:15PM ET means the market gives it about 100%.
