Polymarket · Tech & ScienceClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 100% | +4 pts | — | 96¢ · 100¢ (4¢) | — | ended |
| Widget | 0% | +32 pts | — | — · 95¢ | — | ended |
| Apple Intelligence | 100% | +4 pts | — | 98¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Tariff | 100% | +9 pts | — | 98¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Health | 100% | +30 pts | — | 96¢ · 100¢ (4¢) | — | ended |
| Liquid Glass | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Apple Pay | 100% | +37 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| iCloud | 100% | +71 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | −14 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| iPhone 10+ times | 100% | −23 pts | — | 47¢ · 100¢ (53¢) | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence 5+ times | 100% | +1 pts | — | 92¢ · 100¢ (8¢) | — | ended |
| iPhone 18 | 0% | −14 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Streaming | 0% | −27 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Roadmap | 100% | +36 pts | — | 95¢ · 100¢ (5¢) | — | ended |
| Sport | 100% | +59 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mac 10+ times | 100% | −22 pts | — | 49¢ · 100¢ (51¢) | — | ended |
| AirPod | 100% | +22 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Creator Studio | 100% | +50 pts | — | 98¢ · 100¢ (3¢) | — | ended |
| GPU / CPU | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · 80¢ | — | ended |
| Siri | 100% | +22 pts | — | 98¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| China | 100% | +37 pts | — | 98¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Gemini | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · 95¢ | — | ended |
| App Store | 100% | +11 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Friday Night Baseball | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Apple currently scheduled to take place on July 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Home means the market gives it about 100%.