Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto / DOGE | 0% | +28 pts | — | — · 4¢ | — | ended |
| New York / New Yorker 30+ times | 100% | +3 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Thousand / Million / Billion 15+ times | 100% | +6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump 20+ times | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Public transport 3+ times | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Immigrant 8+ times | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 9¢ | — | ended |
| Affordability / Affordable 20+ times | 0% | −45 pts | — | <1¢ · 27¢ (27¢) | — | ended |
| Charlie / Kirk | 0% | −27 pts | — | — · 8¢ | — | ended |
| Uganda / Venezuela | 100% | +6 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Tariff 5+ times | 0% | −21 pts | — | — · 10¢ | — | ended |
| Sexual / Harassment | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| War Crime / War Criminal | 0% | — | — | — · 5¢ | — | ended |
| Rent Control / Rent Controlled | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Defund / Defunding | 100% | +49 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| LGBTQ / Transgender | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · 5¢ | — | ended |
| Oligarchy / Wall Street | 0% | −27 pts | — | — · 89¢ | — | ended |
| Sanctuary city / Hottest city | 0% | −16 pts | — | — · 5¢ | — | ended |
| National Guard 4+ times | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Rikers / Manhattan | 100% | +38 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0% | +4 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Cat / PETA | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · 5¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
The first NYC mayoral debate is scheduled to take place on October 16, 2025, 7 PM ET. More here: https://www.nycvotes.org/whats-on-the-ballot/2025-nyc-candidate-debates/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., "joyful" is not a compound word for "joy"; however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the named debate. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If the event has not aired in its entirety by October 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no appearance is aired by this time, or if it is otherwise definitively cancelled, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the audio/video of the listed event.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Crypto / DOGE means the market gives it about 0%.