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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| iPhone | 100% | +1 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tariff | 100% | +7 pts | +13 pts | 98¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| M3 | 0% | −61 pts | −42 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Manufacturing | 100% | +16 pts | +23 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Vision | 100% | +8 pts | +6 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Streaming | 100% | +61 pts | +61 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Wearable | 100% | +16 pts | +10 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China | 100% | +14 pts | +7 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Service | 100% | +3 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Intelligence | 100% | +3 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 450d |  TheWolfOfPoly | Vision | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | +$11 +1.1% | 20 |
| 450d | SweetChariot2 fills | iPhone | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,414 | +$13 +0.3% | 20 |
The Apple Q3 earnings call is scheduled to take place on July 31, 2025. (https://www.apple.com/investor/earnings-call/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for iPhone means the market gives it about 100%.