Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Polymarket · Tech & ScienceClosed
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT 15+ | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sam / Altman | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| OpenAI 5+ | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Multimodal | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | −15 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump | 0% | −24 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Open Source | 0% | −65 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Browser | 0% | −75 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| It's a good model | 0% | −75 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gemini | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Deep Research | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Roadmap | 0% | −74 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 443d |  1sk | Multimodal | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,352 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 443d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | GPT 15+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,851 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
ShonDevidson432 shares
benny32371 sharesOpenAI is scheduled to give a livestream on August 7, at 1 PM ET. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/1953139020231569685 This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not released by August 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the appearance.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for GPT 15+ means the market gives it about 100%.