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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pink 10+ times | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump | 0% | −14 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mamdani | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mustard 10+ times | 0% | −55 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| New Record | 0% | −69 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Let's Go | 0% | −90 pts | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Juicy | 0% | −60 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sunny | 0% | −82 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| World Champion | 0% | −94 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Best Hot Dog | 0% | −85 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Slamming Them Down | 0% | −85 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dog Fight / Dogfight | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Six Seven | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sick | 0% | −56 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Weather | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Soaking Wet | 0% | −58 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oil | 0% | −54 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trash | 100% | +42 pts | — | 60¢ · 100¢ (40¢) | — | ended |
| Glizzy | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| We Are So Back | 0% | −17 pts | — | — · 36¢ | — | ended |
| Closing In | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · 59¢ | — | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111d | 0x4452…7ae7 | Pink 10+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,797 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 111d | 0x4452…7ae7 | Mamdani | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,287 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 111d | calami | Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,167 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 111d | 0x... | New Record | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,542 | +$65 +4.2% | 20 |
FredericM2,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the English live broadcast of the 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest, scheduled for July 4, 2026, with coverage beginning at approximately 10:30 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the events of the entire official live broadcast, beginning from the start of the pre-show/early coverage and continuing uninterrupted through the conclusion of the men's competition, including the women's competition and any eat-off or tiebreaker, if applicable. All remarks made live at any point during the broadcast, including pre-contest, between-contest, and post-contest commentary, will be considered, up until the broadcast ends. If the contest is definitively cancelled, postponed, or otherwise does not air by July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If this contest is interrupted, abbreviated, or only partially aired, this market will resolve according to what has occurred up to that point. The resolution source for this market is the official English live broadcast of the 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest on ESPN platforms and ABC. Only remarks made live during the official broadcast will count toward this market's resolution. Transcripts will not count. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Pink 10+ times means the market gives it about 0%.