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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation | 100% | +22 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Folks 3+ times | 100% | +2 pts | 0 pts | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| MAGA | 100% | +75 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Old | 100% | +23 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Resign | 0% | −50 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Donald Dump | 0% | −46 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alley cat | 0% | −22 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hunter | 100% | +52 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ceasefire | 100% | +30 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Project 2025 | 100% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Weird/Weirdo | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Malarkey | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Convicted felon | 100% | +49 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Israel | 0% | −50 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| King | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Pelosi | 0% | −49 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 794d | Inflation | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,441 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 794d | Inflation | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,611 | −$38 −0.7% | — | |
| 794d | Breezy-Entrance2 fills | Inflation | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,686 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 794d | Inflation | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,199 | +$14 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 794d | Donald Dump | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,174 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 794d | anon1565 | Malarkey | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,111 | +$31 +1.0% | 20 |
| 794d | Hhkcg2 fills | Resign | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,124 | +$97 +3.1% | 20 |
| 794d | MAGA | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,815 | +$405 +11% | 20 | |
| 794d | anon15652 fills | King | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,667 | +$185 +6.9% | 20 |
| 794d | MOA | Inflation | SellYes>99¢ | $1,996 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 794d | bey | Folks 3+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,153 | +$12 +1.0% | 20 |
| 794d | baalenjoyer | Hunter | SellYes>99¢ | $1,037 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 794d | anon1565 | Old | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,750 | +$98 +1.0% | 20 |
| 794d | lolololol-743 | Hunter | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,038 | −$21 −1.0% | — |
| 794d | TRUMPMAGA | Inflation | BuyNo29¢ → 0¢ | $1,457 | −$1,457 −100% | 22 |
| 794d | Alley cat | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $7,861 | +$592 +7.5% | 20 | |
| 794d | kingfisher | Inflation | BuyNo28¢ → 0¢ | $1,841 | −$1,841 −100% | 23 |
| 794d | lug | Israel | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,419 | +$381 +27% | 20 |
| 794d | Hunter | BuyNo93¢ → 0¢ | $2,139 | −$2,139 −100% | 20 | |
| 794d | Ceasefire | BuyYes27¢ → 100¢ | $1,890 | +$5,110 +270% | 23 | |
| 794d | Donald Dump | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,209 | −$91 −7.5% | — | |
| 794d | Donald Dump | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,467 | +$66 +4.5% | 20 | |
| 794d | MAGA | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $6,246 | −$6,246 −100% | 20 | |
| 794d | Project 2025 | BuyNo30¢ → 0¢ | $2,103 | −$2,103 −100% | 23 | |
| 794d | Old | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $2,089 | −$2,089 −100% | 20 | |
| 794d | Folks 3+ times | BuyNo54¢ → 0¢ | $2,018 | −$2,018 −100% | 20 | |
| 794d | Convicted felon | BuyNo57¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 20 | |
| 794d | madkkee2 fills | MAGA | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $6,293 | −$6,293 −100% | 20 |
| 794d | Inflation | BuyNo26¢ → 0¢ | $2,456 | −$2,456 −100% | 24 | |
| 794d | Alley cat | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $8,490 | +$996 +12% | 20 | |
| 794d | Pelosi | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$151 +7.5% | 20 | |
| 794d | anonanonanon-387 | Weird/Weirdo | BuyYes16¢ → 0¢ | $1,058 | −$1,058 −100% | 20 |
| 794d | nickverd | Donald Dump | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | +$69 +6.4% | 20 |
| 794d | nickverd | Resign | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,875 | +$120 +6.4% | 20 |
| 794d | Gatito | Folks 3+ times | BuyNo57¢ → 0¢ | $1,140 | −$1,140 −100% | 20 |
| 794d | Gatito | Old | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 20 |
| 794d | Alley cat | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$115 +9.9% | 20 | |
| 794d | tsll | Hunter | BuyNo85¢ → 0¢ | $2,204 | −$2,204 −100% | 20 |
| 794d | Breezy-Entrance | Resign | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,586 | +$119 +7.5% | 20 |
| 794d | Breezy-Entrance | Old | BuyNo46¢ → 0¢ | $1,230 | −$1,230 −100% | 20 |
| 794d | Breezy-Entrance | Ceasefire | BuyNo58¢ → 0¢ | $1,278 | −$1,278 −100% | 20 |
| 794d | Breezy-Entrance | MAGA | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $1,816 | −$1,816 −100% | 20 |
| 794d | Inflation | BuyNo22¢ → 0¢ | $10,195 | −$10,195 −100% | 33 | |
| 794d | clownfiesta96 fills | Folks 3+ times | BuyNo60¢ → 0¢ | $13,007 | −$13,007 −100% | 20 |
| 794d | clownfiesta9 | Inflation | BuyNo20¢ → 0¢ | $1,718 | −$1,718 −100% | 23 |
| 794d | clownfiesta9 | MAGA | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $5,101 | −$5,101 −100% | 20 |
| 794d | tsll | Folks 3+ times | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $1,661 | −$1,661 −100% | 20 |
| 794d | clownfiesta9 | Old | BuyNo46¢ → 0¢ | $3,491 | −$3,491 −100% | 21 |
| 794d | Donald Dump | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,290 | +$210 +16% | 20 | |
| 794d | TRUMPMAGA | Alley cat | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $6,918 | +$769 +11% | 20 |
What will Biden say during DNC speech?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Inflation means the market gives it about 100%.