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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump | 0% | −73 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hunter | 0% | −62 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jill | 0% | −94 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Inflation | 0% | −71 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Peaceful Transition | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kamala Harris | 100% | +5 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Democracy 4+ times | 100% | +32 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ceasefire | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| God 3+ times | 0% | −65 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Malarkey | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Felon | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Old | 0% | −39 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pardon | 0% | −19 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hope 3+ times | 0% | −50 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Folks 3+ times | 0% | −28 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Obama | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Israel | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Afghanistan | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 646d |  RiseAndSunny | Trump | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 646d | degens9 | Felon | SellNo>99¢ | $1,074 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 646d |  coby | Hunter | SellNo>99¢ | $2,307 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 646d |  Burnmoneyuser | God 3+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,414 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 646d | estebanqs | Trump | SellNo>99¢ | $1,096 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 646d | chairmanmeow | Hunter | SellNo>99¢ | $1,425 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 646d |  414B | Trump | SellNo>99¢ | $1,129 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 646d | Burnmoneyuser | Peaceful Transition | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,293 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 646d |  JJo | Folks 3+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 646d | Gamblrx3 | Democracy 4+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,103 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 646d |  dududududu | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,670 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 646d | Nahhhhhh | Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,495 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 646d | JJo2 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,122 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 646d |  DancingonMarshmellos2 fills | Peaceful Transition | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,769 | +$28 +1.0% | 20 |
| 646d | Gamblrx3 | Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $37,724 | +$381 +1.0% | 20 |
| 646d |  lranon | Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,406 | +$64 +1.2% | 20 |
| 646d | Gamblrx32 fills | Jill | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,169 | +$59 +0.6% | 20 |
| 646d |  🍝👹 | Peaceful Transition | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,436 | +$15 +1.0% | 20 |
| 646d |  noreasapa | Old | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,786 | +$28 +1.0% | 20 |
| 646d |  Dropper | Jill | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,477 | +$78 +1.4% | 20 |
| 646d |  AgricultureSecretary | Inflation | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,984 | +$91 +1.0% | 20 |
| 646d | lranon | Jill | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,345 | +$76 +1.4% | 20 |
| 646d | noreasapa | Peaceful Transition | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,059 | +$41 +1.0% | 20 |
| 646d | Ordon | Jill | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,971 | +$29 +1.5% | 20 |
| 646d | Dropper | God 3+ times | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,095 | +$183 +5.9% | 20 |
| 646d |  Anon1792681 | Trump | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,984 | +$111 +5.6% | 20 |
| 646d | semi | Hunter | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,654 | +$265 +16% | 20 |
| 646d | FoldingNuts272 | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,270 | +$12 +0.5% | 20 |
| 646d |  AcctToBeRetired | Felon | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$58 +2.9% | 20 |
| 646d | AcctToBeRetired | Peaceful Transition | BuyYes80¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 20 |
| 646d | Anon1792681 | Peaceful Transition | BuyYes96¢ → 0¢ | $2,511 | −$2,511 −100% | 20 |
| 646d | Dropper | Kamala Harris | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,952 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 646d |  Axios2 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,083 | +$47 +1.5% | 20 |
| 646d |  Eridpnc2 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,294 | +$56 +2.4% | 20 |
| 646d | AcctToBeRetired | Jill | BuyYes97¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 20 |
| 646d | AcctToBeRetired | Kamala Harris | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$38 +3.2% | 20 |
| 646d | lug | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,914 | +$28 +1.5% | 20 |
| 646d | lug | Malarkey | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,871 | +$79 +4.2% | 20 |
| 646d |  vocifer | Hunter | BuyYes67¢ → 0¢ | $2,511 | −$2,511 −100% | 20 |
| 646d | vocifer | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,940 | +$60 +3.1% | 20 |
| 646d | 🍝👹2 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,071 | −$248 −4.1% | — |
| 646d | dududududu | Inflation | BuyYes79¢ → 0¢ | $1,409 | −$1,409 −100% | 20 |
| 646d | Isaak👴2 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,033 | +$168 +4.2% | 20 |
| 647d | degens9 | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,867 | −$58 −3.1% | — |
| 647d |  moonlitzt | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,363 | −$157 −2.9% | — |
| 647d | coby | Hunter | BuyNo39¢ → 100¢ | $1,128 | +$1,735 +154% | 28 |
| 647d |  Euan | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,057 | −$29 −2.8% | — |
| 648d | lranon | Trump | BuyYes84¢ → 0¢ | $1,680 | −$1,680 −100% | 23 |
| 648d | Euan | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | +$22 +2.1% | 20 |
enochsmiles4,471 sharesThis is a market on predictions regarding the content of President Biden's farewell address.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Crypto/Bitcoin means the market gives it about 0%.