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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monica Lewinsky | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Democracy | 0% | −18 pts | 0 pts | — · 97¢ | — | ended |
| Hillary | 100% | +32 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Epstein | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · 4¢ | — | ended |
| Oval Office | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · 99¢ | — | ended |
| Ceasefire | 100% | +47 pts | 0 pts | 100¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Donald Trump | 100% | +10 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chelsea | 0% | −53 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Obama | 100% | +47 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Israel | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Palestine/Palestinian | 0% | −44 pts | 0 pts | — · 17¢ | — | ended |
| Peace | 100% | +26 pts | 0 pts | 52¢ · 100¢ (48¢) | — | ended |
| Antisemitism | 0% | −20 pts | 0 pts | — · 50¢ | — | ended |
| Camp David | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 793d | professorx | Monica Lewinsky | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,049 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 793d |  MLBksRETARD | Epstein | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,488 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 793d |  Anon5215 | Oval Office | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,267 | +$224 +18% | 20 |
| 793d | sarra2 fills | Monica Lewinsky | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,545 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 793d | sarra | Epstein | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
This is a market on predicting the content of Tim Walz's speech at the Democratic National Convention.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Monica Lewinsky means the market gives it about 0%.