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Polymarket · CryptoClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 100% | +20 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Prediction Market | 100% | +3 pts | +14 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ethereum 2+ times | 100% | +34 pts | +24 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Stablecoin 2+ times | 100% | +3 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Perpetual Futures / Perp | 0% | −76 pts | −63 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tokenized Equity | 0% | −77 pts | −54 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cobie | 0% | −53 pts | −78 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Token Sale | 100% | +27 pts | +41 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Solana | 0% | −61 pts | −75 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Echo | 0% | −63 pts | −87 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Base Token | 0% | −45 pts | −37 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 310d | haeju | Bitcoin | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,532 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 310d |  Optimus- | Bitcoin | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,175 | +$9 +0.4% | 2 |
| 310d |  Dragontree | Ethereum 2+ times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | +$34 +3.2% | 2 |
| 310d | Optimus- | Prediction Market | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,078 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 311d | 3nes | Stablecoin 2+ times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$51 +3.4% | 2 |
Brian Armstrong is scheduled to participate in Coinbase's product showcase on December 17, 2025 (https://x.com/brian_armstrong/status/1990798715997810957). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Brian Armstrong says the listed term during his appearance at the named event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Brian Armstrong's appearances at the "Product Showcase: Coinbase System Update 2025" event (https://investor.coinbase.com/events-and-presentations/events/event-details/2025/Product-Showcase-Coinbase-System-Update-2025-Cafj9fkLvm/default.aspx). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the specifically listed events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain Q&As, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or relevant footage is otherwise not aired by December 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Bitcoin means the market gives it about 100%.