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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genius | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Zelensky | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tariff | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| DOGE/Department of Government Efficiency | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Putin | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto/Cryptocurrency/Bitcoin | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elon 5+ times | 0% | −57 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fraud 10+ times | 0% | −33 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| AI/Artificial Intelligence | 0% | −25 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Woke | 0% | −45 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| DEI/Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| USAID 3+ times | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Waste 10+ times | 0% | −42 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 5+ times | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 614d | Roronotalt | Genius | SellYes>99¢ | $2,664 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 616d |  iamhungry3 fills | Genius | SellYes>99¢ | $10,112 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 616d |  Debosnys | Genius | SellYes>99¢ | $5,914 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 617d | AreWeNotEntertained | Genius | SellYes>99¢ | $42,072 | −$42 −0.1% | — |
| 617d |  0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxd2 fills | Genius | SellYes>99¢ | $19,469 | −$19 −0.1% | — |
| 617d |  bosshog | Genius | SellYes>99¢ | $4,840 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 617d | Debosnys2 fills | Genius | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,001 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 617d |  d1k21 | Genius | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 617d | 0330330332 fills | Genius | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 617d |  Vulture-811 | Genius | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,144 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 617d |  Erasmus.2 fills | Genius | BuyYes>99¢ | $163,903 | +$192 +0.1% | 20 |
| 617d | bosshog | Genius | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 617d |  tsybka3 fills | Genius | SellYes>99¢ | $36,277 | −$117 −0.3% | — |
| 617d | M.A8157 | Elon 5+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,837 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 617d |  flexo | Genius | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,752 | +$34 +0.2% | 20 |
| 617d |  Car2 fills | Genius | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,228 | +$32 +0.6% | 20 |
| 617d |  🍝👹6 fills | Genius | SellYes>99¢ | $50,200 | −$119 −0.2% | — |
| 617d | metapotato | Tariff | SellYes>99¢ | $4,393 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 617d | Roronotalt | Genius | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,469 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 617d | iamhungry | Genius | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 617d | Car | Genius | SellYes>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 617d |  LlamaEnjoyer | Genius | SellYes>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 617d | Car | DOGE/Department of Government Efficiency | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,225 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 617d | tsybka | Genius | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,148 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 617d | AreWeNotEntertained | Genius | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,085 | +$49 +2.3% | 20 |
| 617d | Car2 fills | Crypto/Cryptocurrency/Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,179 | +$73 +2.3% | 20 |
| 617d |  Dropper | DOGE/Department of Government Efficiency | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,350 | +$30 +1.3% | 20 |
| 617d |  Emptiness. | Genius | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,420 | +$14 +1.0% | 20 |
| 617d | 🍝👹2 fills | Genius | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,724 | +$38 +1.0% | 20 |
| 617d | Car | Putin | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,845 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 617d | Dropper | Tariff | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,020 | +$23 +0.3% | 20 |
| 617d | Debosnys | Tariff | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,257 | +$14 +1.1% | 20 |
| 617d | metapotato | Tariff | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,762 | +$55 +3.1% | 20 |
| 617d | EscalateFund | Tariff | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,365 | +$72 +5.3% | 20 |
| 617d | Early-Gnu | Zelensky | SellNo38¢ → 0¢ | $47,880 | +$47,880 +100% | — |
| 617d | 0x2273…7656 | Zelensky | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $76,860 | +$49,140 +64% | 20 |
| 618d | metapotato | DOGE/Department of Government Efficiency | BuyYes85¢ → 0¢ | $1,611 | −$1,611 −100% | 25 |
PrediktyMetaMask1,000 sharesOn Wednesday, Donald Trump announced he will be having a press conference about where American tax dollars have been going on February 13: https://x.com/AutismCapital/status/1889800475668783190 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the first such press conference Trump gives on February 13. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will not count. If no such press conference happens by February 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the press conference.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Genius means the market gives it about 100%.