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Polymarket · EconomyClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | 100% | +45 pts | +42 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| DOGE | 100% | +63 pts | +60 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Rare Earth | 100% | +73 pts | +56 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tariff 5+ | 100% | +47 pts | +38 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China 3+ | 100% | +13 pts | +37 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mars | 0% | −20 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 100% | +4 pts | +25 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Inflation | 0% | −38 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | −13 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | 0% | −10 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 549d |  TheWolfOfPoly | DOGE | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | +$40 +2.0% | 20 |
| 550d |  UwO | AI / Artificial Intelligence | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,319 | +$15 +1.1% | 20 |
| 551d | Celthos | Trump | SellNo55¢ → 0¢ | $19,468 | +$19,468 +100% | — |
| 551d | Celthos | Trump | BuyNo56¢ → 0¢ | $19,845 | −$19,845 −100% | 25 |
| 554d | Ralvith | Trump | SellYes43¢ → 100¢ | $11,759 | −$15,588 −133% | — |
| 554d | Brethos | Trump | BuyNo58¢ → 0¢ | $15,861 | −$15,861 −100% | 22 |
The Tesla Q1 2025 earnings call is scheduled to take place on April 22, 2025. (https://x.com/Tesla/status/1907418691450392769) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Trump means the market gives it about 100%.