Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Cyber | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Objective | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| God is Good | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| This President | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| CIA | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Little | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Israeli / Israel | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ally | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Game | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Leak / Leaker | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fire | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lethal / Lethality | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Asset | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| SCIF | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Uniform | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
Pete Hegseth is scheduled to participate in a press conference at 8AM ET on April 8, 2026. (https://x.com/deptofwar/status/2041669612824072473). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pete Hegseth says the listed term during the press conference scheduled for April 8, 2026 at 8AM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Hegseth's remarks at the press conference scheduled for 8AM ET on April 8, 2026. (See: https://x.com/deptofwar/status/2041669612824072473). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for AI / Cyber means the market gives it about 0%.