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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie / Kirk 15+ | 0% | −62 pts | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump 10+ times | 100% | +26 pts | +35 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Radical Left | 0% | −39 pts | −57 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability 4+ times | 0% | −70 pts | −73 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Political Violence | 0% | −45 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Biden 3+ times | 0% | −73 pts | −44 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Inflation | 100% | +25 pts | +30 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Israel | 0% | −36 pts | −36 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| America First | 100% | +38 pts | +38 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Free Speech | 100% | +27 pts | +46 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| God 3+ times | 100% | +12 pts | +33 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Working Class / Middle Class | 0% | −64 pts | −76 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| American Dream | 100% | +38 pts | +31 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border / Immigration 5+ times | 100% | +24 pts | +35 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0% | −31 pts | −64 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Healthcare | 0% | −41 pts | −60 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Regime Change | 0% | −22 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| House / Housing | 0% | −74 pts | −63 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
AmericaFest is scheduled to take place from December 18 - December 21, 2025, and JD Vance is scheduled to speak on December 21 at 11:07AM ET (https://tpusa.com/agenda/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during the scheduled event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If prerecorded clips are aired where JD Vance is speaking, those clips will NOT count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If prerecorded clips are aired where JD Vance is speaking, those clips will NOT count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about JD Vance's scheduled appearance at the TPUSA AmericaFest event on December 21, 2025. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If no such event is aired by December 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the event.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Charlie / Kirk 15+ means the market gives it about 0%.
