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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fentanyl | 0% | −56 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Poison | 100% | +60 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China 5+ times | 0% | −65 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| NAFTA | 0% | −59 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Drill Baby Drill | 100% | +40 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 7+ times | 0% | −41 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Debate | 100% | +23 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fake News | 0% | −37 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| You Guys | 100% | +50 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tampon | 0% | −18 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Manufacturing | 100% | +44 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Comrade Kamala | 0% | −22 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Stolen Valor | 0% | −31 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Back the Blue | 0% | −30 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Okay Good | 0% | −44 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mamaw | 0% | −39 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Couch | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dynamic Duo | 0% | −24 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 786d |  Anon5215 | NAFTA | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,623 | +$77 +1.0% | 20 |
| 786d |  carp | Fentanyl | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,920 | +$80 +1.0% | 20 |
| 786d | Anon5215 | Poison | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,451 | +$75 +1.0% | 20 |
| 786d |  NadyaSuleman | Drill Baby Drill | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,480 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
This is a market group over what J.D. Vance will say in his rally in Erie, Pennsylvania scheduled for August 28, 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Fentanyl means the market gives it about 0%.