Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation 3+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Biden 6+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Manufacturing 2+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 2+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trillion | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Big Beautiful Bill | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crazy | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Iran | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ass | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hormuz | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Transgender / Radical Left | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fake News | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Autism / Autistic | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Epic Fury | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nuclear | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| American Dream | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump 5+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 219d | Fake News | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,089 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 219d | BrightStars | Iran | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,480 | +$15 +0.2% | 20 |
| 219d | Crazy | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,031 | +$17 +1.6% | 20 |
JD Vance is scheduled to give remarks at Auburn Hills, Michigan on March 18, 2026 (https://www.fox2detroit.com/news/vice-president-jd-vance-visit-metro-detroit-wednesday-give-remarks). This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during the Michigan visit scheduled for March 18, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about JD Vance's Michigan visit scheduled for March 18, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Inflation 3+ times means the market gives it about 0%.