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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump 5+ times | 0% | −82 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Far Left | 100% | +70 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Inflation | 100% | +58 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Democrat 12+ times | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| God 4+ times | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hell | 100% | +37 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| America First | 0% | −34 pts | — | — · 7¢ | — | ended |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 100% | +23 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Blue | 0% | −70 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wife | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Job 8+ times | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Vote | 100% | +21 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Iran | 0% | −56 pts | — | — · 3¢ | — | ended |
| Restaurant | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Ass | 0% | −21 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati | 0% | — | — | — · 96¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
JD Vance is scheduled to give remarks in Ohio on August 21, 2026. (https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/jd-vance/vance-hometown-speech-ohio-midterm-travel-rcna593142). This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about JD Vance’s remarks in Ohio scheduled for August 21, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Trump 5+ times means the market gives it about 0%.