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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ass | 100% | −67 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Biden Administration 4+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Job 12+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | −100 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Baby / Pregnant | 100% | −53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Greenland / Denmark | 100% | −53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 7+ times | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Refund | 100% | −62 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Peace | 100% | −45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Radical Left | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Egg / Gasoline 2+ times | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| God 3+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Foreign | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 274d | zxc368 | Job 12+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,090 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 274d | Baby / Pregnant | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,484 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 274d | Refund | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 274d | ballboy95 | Ass | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,372 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 274d | Ass | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,840 | +$160 +2.0% | 20 |
J.D. Vance is set to deliver remarks in Toledo on on January 22, 2026 (see: https://www.cleveland.com/open/2026/01/jd-vance-will-deliver-economic-message-during-thursday-visit-to-toledo-capitol-letter.html). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vance says the listed term during the event on January 22, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the remarks in Toledo (https://www.cleveland.com/open/2026/01/jd-vance-will-deliver-economic-message-during-thursday-visit-to-toledo-capitol-letter.html). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Ass means the market gives it about 100%.