Polymarket · Tech & ScienceClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chip | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hardware | 0% | −56 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Apple Intelligence | 100% | +18 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| One More Thing 3+ times | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · 13¢ | — | ended |
| Aluminum | 100% | +56 pts | — | 97¢ · 100¢ (3¢) | — | ended |
| Afford / Affordable | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Apple TV | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| AirTag | 0% | +42 pts | — | — · 95¢ | — | ended |
| AirPods Pro | 100% | +84 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Steve Jobs | 0% | +5 pts | — | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| Fold / Folding / Foldable 10+ times | 0% | +30 pts | — | — · 95¢ | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times | 0% | +16 pts | — | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| Battery Life 3+ times | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · 84¢ | — | ended |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · 97¢ | — | ended |
| Flexible | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
John Ternus is scheduled to participate in Apple's "Surprise and Shine" event on September 9, 2026, 1 PM ET (https://www.apple.com/apple-events/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Ternus says the listed term at any point during the event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If John Ternus does not speak during the event, the event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Chip means the market gives it about 0%.