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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democracy | 100% | +38 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China 2+ times | 100% | +28 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hamas | 100% | +71 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Biden | 100% | +22 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Abortion | 100% | +23 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 5+ times | 0% | −66 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Putin | 100% | +36 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tip | 0% | −35 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Israel | 100% | +17 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 773d |  Anon52152 fills | Democracy | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $8,639 | −$258 −3.0% | — |
| 773d |  JJo | Hamas | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$20 +1.0% | 20 |
| 773d | PM7772 fills | Hamas | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,722 | +$78 +1.0% | 20 |
| 773d | Anon5215 | Democracy | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $5,673 | +$2,794 +49% | 20 |
| 773d |  AgricultureSecretary | China 2+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | +$17 +1.7% | 20 |
| 773d |  DonaldinhoTrumpito | China 2+ times | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $6,615 | +$2,455 +37% | 20 |
| 773d | JJo | China 2+ times | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | +$521 +46% | 20 |
| 773d | JJo | Biden | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,432 | +$428 +30% | 20 |
| 773d |  ANudeEgg | Biden | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,849 | +$552 +30% | 20 |
| 773d |  gopfan2 | Border 5+ times | BuyYes68¢ → 0¢ | $3,400 | −$3,400 −100% | 20 |
| 773d | gopfan2 | Putin | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $2,082 | +$1,774 +85% | 20 |
SimSim2 sharesThis is a market group over what Kamala Harris and Donald Trump both say at the debate scheduled for September 10, 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Democracy means the market gives it about 100%.