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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I'm speaking | 0% | −18 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Convicted Felon | 0% | −57 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Abortion | 100% | +11 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Liar | 0% | −32 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Project 2025 | 100% | +15 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 5+ times | 0% | −69 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| JD Vance | 100% | +67 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Unrealized | 0% | −21 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| DEI | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Artificial Intelligence | 100% | +70 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Weird | 0% | −20 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Democracy | 100% | +14 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Palestine/Palestinian | 100% | +21 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Not Going Back | 100% | +32 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| McDonald's | 0% | −19 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wall | 0% | −28 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Inflation | 100% | +16 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ceasefire | 100% | +23 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 773d | Border 5+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,015 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 773d | PM7772 fills | Border 5+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,975 | +$25 +0.3% | 20 |
| 773d | Convicted Felon | SellNo>99¢ | $1,439 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 773d | professorx | Border 5+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,241 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 773d | nuhuh | Palestine/Palestinian | SellYes>99¢ | $1,648 | −$7 −0.4% | — |
| 773d | Big.Dog | Not Going Back | SellYes>99¢ | $2,823 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 773d | anon1565 | Border 5+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,126 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 773d | thepredtooooor | Convicted Felon | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 773d | Abortion | BuyYes>99¢ | $29,094 | +$29 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 773d | Niniti2 | Artificial Intelligence | SellYes>99¢ | $1,744 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 773d | gilbert | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,802 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 773d | Liar | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 773d | Unrealized | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,741 | +$18 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 773d | BidenSucks | JD Vance | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,977 | −$23 −0.8% | — |
| 773d | rtdream | Liar | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 20 |
| 773d | polywannacracker2 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,477 | +$223 +3.4% | 20 |
| 773d | Unrealized | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,368 | +$51 +2.1% | 20 | |
| 773d | Not Going Back | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,055 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 773d | Convicted Felon | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,926 | +$506 +10% | 20 | |
| 773d | Breezy-Entrance | Not Going Back | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,163 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 773d | Breezy-Entrance | Artificial Intelligence | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 773d | Not Going Back | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,963 | −$23 −0.8% | — | |
| 773d | polygoon | Project 2025 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,002 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 773d | professorx | Project 2025 | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,102 | +$48 +0.3% | 20 |
| 773d | Not Going Back | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,796 | −$18 −1.0% | — | |
| 773d | Not Going Back | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,454 | +$361 +25% | 20 | |
| 773d | EVEquity | Convicted Felon | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$236 +21% | 20 |
| 773d | poptree | Inflation | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,787 | +$18 +1.0% | 20 |
| 773d | JJJ777 | JD Vance | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,840 | +$19 +1.0% | 20 |
| 773d | JD Vance | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | −$10 −1.0% | — | |
| 773d | JD Vance | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$329 +16% | 20 | |
| 773d | Inflation | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,229 | +$20 +0.9% | 20 | |
| 773d | I'm speaking | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,740 | +$318 +12% | 20 | |
| 773d | alphamax | Abortion | SellYes>99¢ | $1,968 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 773d | dksol | Border 5+ times | BuyYes88¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 20 |
| 773d | alphamax | Abortion | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,386 | +$24 +1.0% | 20 |
| 773d | Naturalnoob | Abortion | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,564 | +$73 +2.0% | 20 |
| 773d | jl3128776 | I'm speaking | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,178 | +$511 +23% | 20 |
| 773d | Muffled-Doctor | Democracy | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,223 | −$11 −0.9% | — |
| 773d | 0xak | Inflation | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,770 | +$18 +1.0% | 20 |
| 773d | Inflation | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,193 | +$17 +1.5% | 20 | |
| 773d | JD Vance | SellYes31¢ → 100¢ | $3,446 | −$7,725 −224% | — | |
| 773d | Project 2025 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | −$10 −1.0% | — | |
| 773d | HsB34sgg | Democracy | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,291 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 773d | Democracy | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | −$10 −1.0% | — | |
| 773d | poptree | Project 2025 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,945 | +$40 +1.0% | 20 |
| 773d | Project 2025 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | +$10 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 773d | derp1 | Convicted Felon | BuyYes63¢ → 0¢ | $1,014 | −$1,014 −100% | 20 |
| 773d | Convicted Felon | BuyYes58¢ → 0¢ | $3,442 | −$3,442 −100% | 20 | |
| 773d | Liar | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $4,936 | −$4,936 −100% | 23 | |
| 773d | Qtyu | DEI | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | +$66 +6.4% | 20 |
| 773d | dibc23 | Democracy | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,510 | +$290 +19% | 20 |
| 773d | gimpyegon | Democracy | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $8,185 | +$1,753 +21% | 20 |
| 773d | I'm speaking | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,225 | +$560 +25% | 20 | |
| 773d | Bitcoin1776 | Border 5+ times | BuyNo34¢ → 100¢ | $1,076 | +$2,089 +194% | 20 |
| 773d | avareechi | Weird | BuyYes19¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 20 |
| 773d | Not Going Back | BuyNo36¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 20 | |
| 773d | Abortion | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,981 | +$245 +12% | 20 | |
| 773d | MatrixMember | Abortion | BuyNo12¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 21 |
| 773d | userwithnoname | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | +$107 +10% | 20 |
This is a market group over what Kamala Harris will say at her debate with Donald Trump scheduled for September 10, 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for I'm speaking means the market gives it about 0%.