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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Class 5+ times | 0% | −33 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 3+ times | 100% | +58 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Inflation 3+ times | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| AI | 0% | −20 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| First-time Homebuyer | 100% | +30 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Israel | 0% | −17 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Opportunity Economy 2+ times | 0% | −59 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Black | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China 3+ times | 0% | −29 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| New Deal | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trickle-down | 0% | −8 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 753d |  spacebike | Opportunity Economy 2+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,969 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 753d | spacebike | AI | SellNo>99¢ | $1,486 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 753d |  FilippoBruno | Border 3+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,081 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 753d |  ANudeEgg | New Deal | SellNo>99¢ | $2,082 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 753d |  Anon5215 | Middle Class 5+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,832 | +$19 +1.0% | 20 |
| 753d |  mango-lassi | Middle Class 5+ times | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,320 | +$122 +5.3% | 20 |
| 753d |  MrNFT | China 3+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,288 | +$19 +1.5% | 20 |
| 753d | Kng47 | Border 3+ times | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,649 | −$17 −1.0% | — |
| 753d |  DonaldinhoTrumpito | Middle Class 5+ times | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $4,122 | +$873 +21% | 20 |
| 753d | trtrehg | Middle Class 5+ times | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $5,290 | −$1,670 −32% | — |
| 753d | hfggdfgd | Border 3+ times | SellNo34¢ → 0¢ | $2,081 | +$2,081 +100% | — |
| 753d | dfhzdgj | Middle Class 5+ times | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $5,182 | −$1,637 −32% | — |
| 753d | hkhgjhj | Border 3+ times | SellNo43¢ → 0¢ | $3,222 | +$3,222 +100% | — |
| 753d | gfjfghdfhf | Border 3+ times | SellNo41¢ → 0¢ | $2,667 | +$2,667 +100% | — |
| 753d | Lucky31 | Inflation 3+ times | BuyYes10¢ → 0¢ | $1,980 | −$1,980 −100% | 25 |
| 754d | ANudeEgg | Inflation 3+ times | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,335 | +$165 +12% | 20 |
| 754d | mango-lassi | Inflation 3+ times | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,780 | +$220 +12% | 20 |
| 754d | EscalateFund3 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,718 | +$186 +3.9% | 21 |
| 754d | kughjkjghf | Middle Class 5+ times | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $2,645 | −$2,645 −100% | 32 |
| 754d | hfggdfgd | Border 3+ times | BuyNo57¢ → 0¢ | $3,489 | −$3,489 −100% | 30 |
| 754d | dfhzdgj | Middle Class 5+ times | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $4,296 | +$2,523 +59% | 30 |
| 754d | hkhgjhj | Border 3+ times | BuyNo58¢ → 0¢ | $4,346 | −$4,346 −100% | 30 |
| 754d | gfjfghdfhf | Border 3+ times | BuyNo58¢ → 0¢ | $3,773 | −$3,773 −100% | 30 |
| 754d |  TradeDeficitArchitect2 fills | Middle Class 5+ times | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $2,805 | +$2,002 +71% | 28 |
| 754d |  SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Border 3+ times | BuyYes47¢ → 100¢ | $1,145 | +$1,275 +111% | 28 |
| 754d | rom7eo | Middle Class 5+ times | BuyYes45¢ → 0¢ | $1,137 | −$1,137 −100% | 28 |
| 754d | rom7eo | Opportunity Economy 2+ times | BuyYes61¢ → 0¢ | $1,184 | −$1,184 −100% | 28 |
| 756d | ANudeEgg | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,162 | +$78 +6.7% | 21 |
This is a market on predicting the statements made by Kamala Harris during her speech scheduled for Las Vegas, Nevada, on September 29, 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Middle Class 5+ times means the market gives it about 0%.