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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump 10+ times | 100% | +28 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Insulin | 100% | +53 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pathway To Citizenship | 100% | +32 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Gouging | 100% | +65 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hola | 0% | −21 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 5+ times | 100% | +60 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Inflation 3+ | 0% | −17 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Latino/Latina 5+ times | 0% | −43 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Project 2025 | 100% | +20 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Deportation | 0% | −33 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Dreamer | 100% | +60 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Opportunity 5+ times | 100% | +42 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Concept | 0% | −38 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Voter ID | 0% | −8 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| First Time Home Buyer | 100% | +19 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Opportunity Economy 2+ times | 0% | −74 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Million 3+ times | 0% | −61 pts | 0 pts | — · 9¢ | — | ended |
| Fair Share | 0% | −60 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| AI | 0% | −30 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Abortion Ban | 100% | +31 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Milton | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hurricane | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 743d |  AgricultureSecretary | Inflation 3+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,496 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 743d | 0xf5c4cf572be0826d8dd770d09e835149b204e86 | Insulin | SellYes>99¢ | $1,183 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 743d | scoobydoobydoo | Gouging | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$22 +1.0% | 20 |
| 743d | poptree | Gouging | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,385 | +$83 +3.5% | 20 |
| 743d | scoobydoobydoo | Project 2025 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$16 +1.6% | 20 |
| 743d |  ANudeEgg | Pathway To Citizenship | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,498 | +$99 +6.6% | 20 |
| 743d |  mango-lassi | Border 5+ times | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,038 | +$132 +13% | 20 |
| 743d |  carp2 fills | Pathway To Citizenship | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,141 | +$227 +5.5% | 20 |
| 743d |  coby | Insulin | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,836 | +$149 +8.1% | 20 |
| 743d |  SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Insulin | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | +$84 +8.0% | 20 |
| 743d | DanielS10 | Trump 10+ times | BuyNo69¢ → 0¢ | $1,469 | −$1,469 −100% | 20 |
| 743d | SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Hola | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $2,427 | +$927 +38% | 29 |
This is a market group over what Kamala Harris will say during her town hall hosted by Univision scheduled for October 10, 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Trump 10+ times means the market gives it about 100%.