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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coconut | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Jew | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Unburdened | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Brat | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Weirdo | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Context | 100% | +43 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Venn diagram | 100% | +90 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Couch | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 783d | Brat | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,128 | −$55 −4.9% | — | |
| 783d | Jew | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,119 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 783d | Unburdened | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,690 | +$28 +0.6% | 20 | |
| 785d | Unburdened | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,532 | +$82 +5.3% | 21 | |
| 785d | Brat | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$11 +1.1% | 20 | |
| 786d | Jew | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,474 | +$209 +8.5% | 20 | |
| 787d | erik50 | Jew | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,271 | +$26 +2.0% | 20 |
| 791d | Weirdo | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,883 | +$142 +7.5% | 20 | |
| 791d | Unburdened | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,229 | +$200 +16% | 20 | |
| 795d | anon1565 | Brat | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,075 | +$240 +12% | 20 |
| 801d | Venn diagram | BuyNo86¢ → 0¢ | $1,118 | −$1,118 −100% | 20 | |
| 809d | Coconut | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,624 | +$676 +42% | 20 | |
| 810d | Weirdo | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,280 | +$520 +23% | 20 |
This is a market on predicting what Kamala Harris will say in August.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Coconut means the market gives it about 0%.