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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| It's not over | 0% | −62 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump | 100% | +14 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump 3+ times | 0% | −53 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Victory | 100% | +64 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| God | 100% | +50 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Vote 3+ times | 0% | −55 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Putin | 0% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Promise of America | 0% | −69 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Thank you 5+ times | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Doug | 100% | +7 pts | 0 pts | 100¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| All/Every American(s) | 0% | −69 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Democracy 3+ times | 100% | +49 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Russia/Russian | 0% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Biden | 100% | +32 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Won/Win | 100% | +16 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Joy/Joyful | 100% | +78 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Believe in Freedom | 0% | −18 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 716d | VvVv | Promise of America | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,146 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 716d |  willis1111 | Promise of America | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,569 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 716d | Muromec | Victory | SellYes>99¢ | $1,195 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 716d |  LBZcapital | All/Every American(s) | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,586 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 716d | chocolate123 | Putin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,183 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 716d | Wasteful-Clockwork | Democracy 3+ times | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | −$19 −1.8% | — |
| 716d | WigglyWaffles | It's not over | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,345 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 716d | HD8 | It's not over | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,936 | −$36 −1.2% | — |
| 716d |  neetbets | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,430 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 716d | Wasteful-Clockwork | Doug | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,388 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 716d |  Milktoast | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,538 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 716d | Wasteful-Clockwork2 fills | Trump | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,762 | −$115 −3.1% | — |
| 716d |  asamasanso | Biden | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,208 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 716d | asamasanso | Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $1,682 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 716d |  Axios | Democracy 3+ times | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,255 | +$66 +5.3% | 20 |
| 716d |  Glover | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,345 | +$11 +0.8% | 20 |
| 716d | HD8 | It's not over | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,464 | +$508 +21% | 20 |
| 716d | Axios | Victory | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$265 +11% | 20 |
| 716d | Axios | Biden | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,289 | +$53 +4.1% | 20 |
| 716d | Axios | Doug | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,881 | +$30 +1.6% | 20 |
| 716d | BigFatO | Trump | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,313 | +$71 +3.1% | 20 |
| 716d | BigFatO | Thank you 5+ times | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$91 +8.8% | 20 |
| 716d | Wasteful-Clockwork | Doug | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,345 | +$57 +4.2% | 20 |
| 716d | Wasteful-Clockwork | Trump | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,725 | +$152 +4.1% | 20 |
| 716d | Bamboozled88 | Trump 3+ times | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,107 | −$1,107 −100% | 20 |
| 716d | WigglyWaffles | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,618 | +$32 +1.9% | 20 |
| 717d | Chad-Wasp | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,010 | +$29 +1.4% | 20 |
This is a market on predicting the content of Kamala Harris's speech after the election results are announced.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Crypto/Bitcoin means the market gives it about 0%.