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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel | 100% | +23 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| President 75+ times | 100% | +30 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Good Afternoon | 100% | +28 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| President 50+ times | 100% | +10 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| President 100+ times | 0% | −51 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Greenland | 0% | −23 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −34 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tulsi/Gabbard | 0% | −48 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Inflation 5+ times | 0% | −29 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Golden Age | 0% | −43 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| TikTok | 0% | −39 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| AI/Artificial Intelligence | 0% | −48 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| America First | 0% | −58 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 5+ times | 0% | −74 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China | 100% | +31 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ICE 10+ times | 0% | −38 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| DOGE/Department of Government Efficiency | 0% | −59 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elon/Musk | 0% | −26 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 630d |  sleepy-panda | President 75+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,276 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 630d |  noreasapa2 fills | President 75+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,835 | +$41 +0.5% | 20 |
| 631d |  LlamaEnjoyer | Israel | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 631d |  MotherTheresa | Israel | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | +$6 +0.5% | 20 |
| 631d |  Car | Good Afternoon | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Karoline Leavitt says the listed term during the next White House press briefing she participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will not count. If no such press briefing happens by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Leavitt ceases to be White House press secretary for any length of time by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the press briefing.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Israel means the market gives it about 100%.