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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| President 60+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Good afternoon | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nuclear | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| TikTok | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Privilege | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wall Street | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Supermax | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Egregious | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iran 3+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Beautiful | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| President 80+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elon | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Go ahead 5+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Leverage | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tren de Aragua | 0% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| President 100+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China 5+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 3+ times | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 561d |  TheWolfOfPoly | Nuclear | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$35 +3.4% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Karoline Leavitt says the listed term during the next White House press briefing she participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If no such press briefing happens by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Leavitt ceases to be White House press secretary for any length of time by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Only regular White House press briefings (scheduled on weekdays from 12 PM ET to 3 PM ET as per the official schedule) will qualify for this market. The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the press briefing.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for President 60+ times means the market gives it about 100%.