Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin/Crypto/Cryptocurrency | 100% | +88 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| President 100+ times | 100% | +81 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| DOGE/Department of Government Efficiency | 100% | +12 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon/Musk | 100% | +18 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| AI/Artificial Intelligence | 0% | −31 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ICE 5+ times | 0% | −67 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Good Afternoon | 100% | +4 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Greenland | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| RFK/Robert/Kennedy | 0% | −39 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tariff 8+ times | 0% | −21 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 5+ times | 0% | −43 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| DEI/Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion | 100% | +51 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Israel | 100% | +25 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tulsi/Gabbard | 100% | +52 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trans/Transgender | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China | 0% | −68 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Palestine/Palestinian 5+ times | 0% | −45 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| President 50+ | 100% | +8 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Taiwan | 0% | −19 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| President 75+ times | 100% | +26 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| DeepSeek | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Inflation 5+ times | 100% | +82 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Executive Order 5+ | 0% | −87 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| OpenAI | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 619d | Lavs3838 | President 100+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,581 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 619d | KennyM | DOGE/Department of Government Efficiency | SellYes>99¢ | $1,801 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 619d | President 100+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,962 | +$38 +1.9% | 20 | |
| 619d | SweetChariot | Bitcoin/Crypto/Cryptocurrency | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,675 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 619d | Roronotalt | Bitcoin/Crypto/Cryptocurrency | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,574 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 619d | poptree | Bitcoin/Crypto/Cryptocurrency | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,388 | +$64 +2.7% | 20 |
| 619d | Bitcoin/Crypto/Cryptocurrency | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,263 | +$33 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 619d | Bitcoin/Crypto/Cryptocurrency | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,731 | −$88 −1.0% | — | |
| 619d | Bitcoin/Crypto/Cryptocurrency | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,940 | +$60 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 620d | DOGE/Department of Government Efficiency | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $2,165 | +$352 +16% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Karoline Leavitt says the listed term during the next White House press briefing she participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will not count. If no such press briefing happens by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Leavitt ceases to be White House press secretary for any length of time by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the press briefing.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Bitcoin/Crypto/Cryptocurrency means the market gives it about 100%.