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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| President 45+ times | 100% | +27 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| President 30+ times | 100% | +12 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 3+ times | 100% | +80 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Pardon | 100% | +28 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| President 15+ times | 100% | +4 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Kamala | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| South Korea | 0% | −26 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Drone 3+ times | 0% | −29 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| One More Question | 0% | −40 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| UFO/UAP | 0% | −18 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Ukraine | 0% | −72 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alien | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 29¢ | — | ended |
| Syria | 100% | +33 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Putin | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · >99¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 672d | Pardon | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,473 | −$15 −1.0% | — | |
| 672d | Pardon | BuyNo96¢ → 0¢ | $6,720 | −$6,720 −100% | 20 | |
| 672d | Pardon | BuyNo83¢ → 0¢ | $1,137 | −$1,137 −100% | 20 | |
| 672d | Pardon | BuyNo60¢ → 0¢ | $1,176 | −$1,176 −100% | 20 | |
| 672d | Border 3+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $19,727 | +$399 +2.0% | 20 | |
| 675d | traskcccc | President 45+ times | SellNo42¢ → 0¢ | $9,240 | +$9,240 +100% | — |
| 675d | Mnxhhsfff | President 45+ times | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $6,670 | +$4,830 +72% | 20 |
| 675d | KMmcjsjf | President 45+ times | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $6,090 | +$4,410 +72% | 20 |
| 675d | jerrodrepudiand | President 30+ times | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$317 +32% | 20 |
This is a market group over what terms Karine Jean-Pierre will say during her next White House press briefing.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for President 45+ times means the market gives it about 100%.