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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| President 45+ times | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| President 15+ times | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| President 30+ times | 100% | — | 0 pts | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Pardon | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Luigi Mangione | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Assad | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Syria 3+ times | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kamala | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump 5+ times | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Putin | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 5+ times | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Democracy | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Peaceful Transfer of Power | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| UnitedHealthcare | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ukraine | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 682d | vuhalfhudzaovolkhawtdfgt | President 45+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,003 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 682d |  Anon1792681 | President 30+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,427 | +$24 +1.7% | 20 |
| 682d |  lranon | President 15+ times | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,333 | +$59 +4.4% | 20 |
| 682d |  ADudeEgg | Luigi Mangione | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | +$120 +11% | 20 |
| 682d |  dududududu | President 45+ times | BuyYes52¢ → 0¢ | $1,456 | −$1,456 −100% | 20 |
theloser235 sharesThis is a market group over what Karine Jean-Pierre will say at the White House Press Briefing scheduled for December 10, 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for President 45+ times means the market gives it about 0%.