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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 100% | +62 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump | 100% | +20 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| NATO 30+ times | 0% | −60 pts | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Drone | 100% | +18 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Defense 20+ times | 100% | +26 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Poland | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Russia / Ukraine 10+ times | 100% | +19 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| nuclear | 0% | −75 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Deadlock | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cyberattack / Cyber Attack | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lethal | 0% | −22 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Dome | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nazi / Hitler | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| F-35 | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Slovakia | 0% | −30 pts | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 487d |  AgricultureSecretary | Drone | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,112 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 487d | razx34 | Drone | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,017 | +$10 +1.0% | 20 |
| 487d | AgricultureSecretary | AI / Artificial Intelligence | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,255 | +$177 +4.2% | 20 |
| 487d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Drone | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,279 | +$13 +1.0% | 20 |
| 487d | wilhelmm | NATO 30+ times | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,302 | +$261 +7.9% | 20 |
| 487d | AgricultureSecretary | Trump | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,857 | +$39 +1.0% | 20 |
| 487d |  noreasapa | Trump | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | +$50 +1.0% | 20 |
| 487d | noreasapa | Drone | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | +$50 +1.0% | 20 |
| 487d |  Morbuu | AI / Artificial Intelligence | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,041 | +$127 +4.2% | 20 |
| 487d | noreasapa | AI / Artificial Intelligence | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,800 | +$200 +4.2% | 20 |
| 487d | Wonfo | Poland | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,937 | +$104 +1.0% | 20 |
| 487d |  UwO | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,908 | +$192 +1.9% | 21 |
| 487d |  brodiaga2 fills | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,174 | +$112 +2.7% | 21 |
NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte is scheduled to deliver remarks at the NATO Public Forum on June 24 at 4 AM ET. (see livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9SNTY11sf24, https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/events_236298.htm) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mark Rutte says the listed term during his speech at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the main speech that Mark Rutte gives in the scheduled event. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If Mark Rutte does not give a speech at this event, the event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by June 24, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the video of the event.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Crypto / Bitcoin means the market gives it about 0%.