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Polymarket · EconomyClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin 100+ | 0% | −20 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Inflation | 0% | −62 pts | −58 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China | 0% | −40 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto 7+ | 0% | −33 pts | −43 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| A.I / Artificial Intelligence | 0% | −51 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Strategic Bitcoin Reserve | 0% | −47 pts | −44 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tariff 3+ | 0% | −39 pts | −57 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Nvidia | 100% | +73 pts | +52 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Interest Rate | 100% | +55 pts | +57 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Billion 50+ | 0% | −6 pts | −8 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Recession | 0% | −26 pts | −33 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump | 0% | −55 pts | −58 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 543d | Morka | Crypto 7+ | SellYes40¢ → 0¢ | $11,388 | +$11,388 +100% | — |
| 544d | Qindrel3 | Crypto 7+ | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $16,798 | +$11,673 +69% | 22 |
| 546d | Trivena | Inflation | SellNo43¢ → 100¢ | $13,504 | −$17,901 −133% | — |
| 546d | Heryx | Inflation | BuyYes58¢ → 0¢ | $18,215 | −$18,215 −100% | 22 |
| 546d | Trivena | China | SellYes38¢ → 0¢ | $13,084 | +$13,084 +100% | — |
| 547d | Azren | China | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $21,692 | +$12,740 +59% | 22 |
| 549d | Thrylor | Bitcoin 100+ | SellNo64¢ → 100¢ | $37,076 | −$20,855 −56% | — |
| 549d | Thrylor | Bitcoin 100+ | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $36,498 | +$21,435 +59% | 20 |
The MicroStrategy Q1 2025 earnings call is scheduled to take place on May 1st, 2025. (https://www.strategy.com/press/strategy-announces-earnings-release-date-and-live-video-webinar-for-first-quarter-2025-financial-results_04-15-2025) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Saylor says the listed term during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will not count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," but killjoy is a compounding of "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and audio of the event.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Bitcoin 100+ means the market gives it about 0%.