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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data Center 5+ times | 100% | −40 pts | — | 11¢ · 100¢ (90¢) | — | ended |
| Shipment | 100% | −2 pts | — | 90¢ · 100¢ (10¢) | — | ended |
| Customer 25+ times | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Agentic | 100% | +22 pts | — | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| CapEx | 100% | −21 pts | — | 50¢ · 100¢ (50¢) | — | ended |
| Nvidia | 100% | +31 pts | — | 56¢ · 100¢ (44¢) | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence 20+ times | 0% | −17 pts | — | — · 69¢ | — | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | +5 pts | — | — · 11¢ | — | ended |
| PC | 100% | −14 pts | — | 51¢ · 100¢ (49¢) | — | ended |
| Tariff | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| GPU / CPU | 100% | +2 pts | — | 62¢ · 100¢ (38¢) | — | ended |
| Smartphone | 100% | −10 pts | — | 62¢ · 100¢ (38¢) | — | ended |
| ASML | 0% | −17 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| DDR5 | 0% | −78 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23d | polybettor | Data Center 5+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,498 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 23d | polybettor | Shipment | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 25d |  JoneyB | CapEx | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,031 | +$15 +1.5% | 20 |
bjprolo10 sharesThis market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Micron currently scheduled to take place on September 30, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Data Center 5+ times means the market gives it about 100%.