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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Convicted felon | 0% | −38 pts | 0 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Donald Trump 3+ times | 0% | −56 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Israel | 0% | −61 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Joe Biden 3+ times | 100% | +26 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Stocks | 0% | −14 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Thank you 5+ times | 0% | −61 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| January 6 | 100% | +63 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ukraine | 0% | −70 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Democracy | 100% | +25 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Obama | 0% | −53 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Antisemitism | 0% | −33 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Healthcare | 0% | −34 pts | 0 pts | — · 5¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · 3¢ | — | ended |
| Ceasefire | 0% | −33 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Weird/Weirdo | 0% | −32 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Social security | 0% | +16 pts | 0 pts | — · 99¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 793d | gilbert | Convicted felon | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,966 | +$14 +0.1% | 20 |
| 793d | Breezy-Entrance | Donald Trump 3+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,163 | +$42 +1.0% | 20 |
| 793d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Convicted felon | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,840 | +$140 +1.0% | 20 |
| 793d | Breezy-Entrance | Israel | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,969 | +$122 +3.1% | 20 |
| 793d | Breezy-Entrance | Convicted felon | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,940 | +$240 +12% | 20 |
| 793d |  Anon5215 | Donald Trump 3+ times | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,070 | +$502 +12% | 20 |
This is a market on predicting the content of Nancy Pelosi's speech at the DNC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Convicted felon means the market gives it about 0%.