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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Climate change | 0% | −43 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Inflation | 0% | −47 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Infrastructure | 0% | −51 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Gay | 0% | −45 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 4¢ (4¢) | — | ended |
| Manufacturing | 0% | −43 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Marriage | 0% | −42 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Trans | 0% | −42 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Ceasefire | 0% | −35 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 4¢ (4¢) | — | ended |
| Weird/Weirdo | 0% | −41 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | ended |
| Mayor 2+ times | 0% | −44 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Delta | 0% | −13 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Couch | 0% | −35 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 4¢ (4¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −16 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Antisemitism | 0% | −41 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 792d |  Anon5215 | Climate change | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,526 | +$140 +3.1% | 20 |
| 792d | Anon5215 | Inflation | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,539 | +$161 +4.5% | 20 |
| 792d |  mango-lassi | Climate change | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,030 | +$250 +12% | 20 |
This is a market on predicting the content of Pete Buttigieg's speech at the Democratic National Convention.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Climate change means the market gives it about 0%.