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Polymarket · EconomyClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good afternoon | 100% | +2 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Inflation 40+ times | 100% | +23 pts | +16 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump | 0% | −10 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Percent 25+ times | 100% | +37 pts | +34 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shutdown / Shut down | 100% | +13 pts | +13 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Inflation 60+ times | 100% | +78 pts | +72 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Employment / Unemployment 20+ times | 100% | +13 pts | +14 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Unchanged | 100% | +72 pts | +66 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | −15 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Inflation 50+ times | 100% | +47 pts | +40 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sorry | 100% | +28 pts | +26 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pause | 0% | −31 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Probability | 0% | −55 pts | −54 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tariff inflation | 100% | +54 pts | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Weakening | 0% | −66 pts | −67 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times | 100% | +56 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tariff 13+ times | 100% | +58 pts | +60 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pandemic | 100% | +39 pts | +41 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Layoffs | 100% | +20 pts | +22 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Again 10+ times | 0% | −38 pts | −57 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Projection 5+ times | 100% | +37 pts | +36 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Dissenter | 0% | −19 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 317d |  Nik- | Percent 25+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,382 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 317d |  imurvariance | Inflation 40+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,095 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 317d | whoknowss | Shutdown / Shut down | SellYes>99¢ | $1,099 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 317d | Gourdin | Percent 25+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,263 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 317d | pbshine | Trump | SellNo>99¢ | $1,017 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 317d |  noreasapa2 fills | Percent 25+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,074 | +$42 +1.4% | 20 |
| 317d | noreasapa | Good afternoon | SellYes>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 317d |  Debosnys2 fills | Weakening | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,865 | +$173 +2.2% | 20 |
| 317d | Debosnys | Probability | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,661 | +$34 +2.0% | 20 |
| 317d | Liquidifier | Probability | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | +$40 +2.0% | 20 |
| 317d | Debosnys | Inflation 40+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,486 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 317d |  scout | Probability | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,900 | +$100 +2.0% | 20 |
| 317d | BrightSpringFox | Weakening | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,271 | +$29 +2.3% | 20 |
| 317d | noreasapa | Inflation 60+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,666 | +$36 +2.2% | 20 |
| 317d | nhuttamtran1997 | Sorry | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,161 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 317d | nhuttamtran1997 | Inflation 40+ times | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,982 | −$18 −0.9% | — |
| 317d | Doggieson | Employment / Unemployment 20+ times | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,483 | −$162 −11% | — |
| 317d |  NeoSay10 | Inflation 40+ times | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,375 | +$126 +5.3% | 20 |
| 317d | xxSecretSaucexx | Pause | BuyYes82¢ → 0¢ | $1,164 | −$1,164 −100% | 20 |
| 317d | Debosnys | Tariff inflation | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,858 | +$29 +1.0% | 20 |
| 317d |  TheWolfOfPoly | Tariff inflation | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,959 | +$41 +2.1% | 20 |
| 317d | nhuttamtran1997 | Unchanged | SellYes>99¢ | $1,993 | −$7 −0.4% | — |
| 317d |  bamesjond | Good afternoon | SellYes>99¢ | $1,500 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 317d | Debosnys | Employment / Unemployment 20+ times | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,328 | +$70 +5.3% | 20 |
| 317d |  MettaWorldPeace00 | Good afternoon | SellYes>99¢ | $2,873 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 317d |  BipBop | Unchanged | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,311 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 317d | BipBop | Unchanged | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,178 | +$147 +12% | 20 |
| 317d | DooBieZ | Good afternoon | SellYes>99¢ | $1,321 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 317d |  JJo | Good afternoon | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,637 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 317d | esac5 fills | Good afternoon | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $17,183 | +$471 +2.7% | 20 |
| 317d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Good afternoon | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,991 | +$123 +1.4% | 20 |
| 317d | 0x552702e9e7969eab6518426a94ab2813d4f36c86 | Good afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,779 | +$28 +1.5% | 20 |
| 317d | anjin9874 fills | Good afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $14,327 | +$296 +2.1% | 20 |
| 317d | big.bitch | Good afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,580 | +$24 +1.5% | 20 |
| 317d | Ronaldo21003 fills | Good afternoon | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,409 | +$71 +1.3% | 20 |
| 317d | mwenya | Shutdown / Shut down | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | +$184 +16% | 20 |
| 317d | Vilgefortz | Good afternoon | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,315 | +$185 +4.3% | 20 |
| 317d | bamesjond | Good afternoon | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $7,162 | +$295 +4.1% | 20 |
| 317d | ChixNStix | Percent 25+ times | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $1,668 | −$1,668 −100% | 21 |
| 317d |  BeneGesseritVoice | Good afternoon | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | +$80 +4.2% | 20 |
| 317d | MettaWorldPeace002 fills | Good afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,664 | +$107 +1.9% | 20 |
| 317d |  Naichli | Shutdown / Shut down | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,335 | +$165 +12% | 20 |
| 317d | 5551ab | Good afternoon | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,491 | +$74 +1.1% | 20 |
| 317d | MB3B | Good afternoon | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,532 | +$19 +1.2% | 20 |
| 326d | Lolololol | Good afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,810 | +$149 +1.9% | 20 |
| 342d | 22BB | Trump | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,393 | −$257 −18% | — |
| 350d | nangongyingque3 fills | Good afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $10,841 | +$228 +2.1% | 20 |
| 353d | 22BB | Trump | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | +$145 +14% | 20 |
| 354d | ThiccWalrusxD420 | Shutdown / Shut down | BuyNo89¢ → 0¢ | $1,563 | −$1,563 −100% | 20 |
| 354d |  Legendaery | Shutdown / Shut down | BuyNo97¢ → 0¢ | $10,234 | −$10,234 −100% | 20 |
ugabuga11,000 shares
SleepyJoeB10,511 sharesJerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on December 10, 2025, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If no such statement happens by December 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Good afternoon means the market gives it about 100%.