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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | 0% | −26 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Good Afternoon | 100% | +3 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Inflation 40+ times | 100% | +6 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Inflation 50+ times | 0% | −88 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 100% | +72 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Inflation 60+ times | 0% | −63 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tariff 5+ times | 100% | +61 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Deport/Deportation | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Price 15+ times | 100% | +40 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| DeepSeek | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tariff | 100% | +18 pts | 0 pts | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Growth 8+ times | 0% | −71 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cut 7+ times | 0% | −44 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Unemployment 8+ times | 100% | +32 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| AI/Artificial Intelligence | 100% | +73 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Immigrant/Immigration | 100% | +73 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 632d |  Debosnys | Inflation 50+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,105 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 632d | Ordon | Growth 8+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,599 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 632d | Ordon | Price 15+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 632d | Ordon | Tariff 5+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,990 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 632d | Baki219 | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,821 | −$43 −0.7% | — |
| 632d |  ms.. | Inflation 50+ times | BuyNo100¢ | $1,598 | +$8 +0.5% | 20 |
| 632d |  Eridpnc | Inflation 60+ times | BuyNo100¢ | $1,203 | +$6 +0.5% | 20 |
| 633d | Ordon2 fills | Inflation 40+ times | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $7,184 | +$269 +3.7% | 20 |
| 633d | semi | Inflation 50+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,897 | +$19 +1.0% | 20 |
| 633d | EGGGGGGGGGGGGGG | Deport/Deportation | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 633d |  AgricultureSecretary2 fills | Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,088 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 633d |  Bertapotamous | Cut 7+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,138 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 633d |  noreasapa | Growth 8+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,466 | +$15 +1.0% | 20 |
| 633d | Debosnys3 fills | Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,788 | +$41 +0.7% | 20 |
| 633d |  slurpslurpslurp | DeepSeek | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,904 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 633d |  Car | DeepSeek | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 633d |  Anon1792681 | DeepSeek | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,946 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 633d | Debosnys | Tariff 5+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,910 | +$19 +1.0% | 20 |
| 633d |  Axios | AI/Artificial Intelligence | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$15 +1.0% | 20 |
| 633d | noreasapa | Good Afternoon | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 633d |  jd147385 | Inflation 40+ times | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $1,332 | −$1,332 −100% | 20 |
| 633d | jd147385 | Inflation 60+ times | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,338 | −$229 −17% | — |
| 633d |  TrentaColdBrew | AI/Artificial Intelligence | BuyNo80¢ → 0¢ | $3,500 | −$3,500 −100% | 20 |
| 633d |  Bang...2 fills | Inflation 40+ times | SellYes79¢ → 100¢ | $3,068 | −$796 −26% | — |
| 633d |  Therealsmurf | Deport/Deportation | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,209 | +$128 +11% | 20 |
| 633d | NBetz | Good Afternoon | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,681 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 633d | Debosnys | Good Afternoon | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 633d | Ronaldo21002 fills | Good Afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,272 | +$81 +1.5% | 20 |
| 633d | Outrageous-Retreat | Good Afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,955 | +$45 +2.3% | 20 |
| 633d |  mr.ozi | Trump | SellNo72¢ → 100¢ | $2,592 | −$1,008 −39% | — |
| 633d |  dududududu | Trump | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,134 | +$309 +27% | 20 |
| 633d | Bang... | Good Afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,533 | +$57 +2.2% | 20 |
| 633d | anjin987 | Good Afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,805 | +$64 +2.3% | 20 |
| 633d |  Po1yamory | Inflation 40+ times | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,444 | −$126 −8.7% | — |
| 633d | Worthy-Pulley | Trump | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,040 | −$1,040 −100% | 20 |
| 633d |  vocifer | Trump | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $5,849 | +$1,851 +32% | 28 |
| 633d | SeeAndHear | Good Afternoon | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,777 | −$58 −3.3% | — |
| 633d | uppers | Inflation 40+ times | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$56 +5.4% | 21 |
| 633d |  cdpor2 | Trump | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $3,232 | +$1,037 +32% | 26 |
| 633d | Up-Down | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo73¢ → 0¢ | $1,095 | −$1,095 −100% | 27 |
| 634d | Eridpnc2 fills | Trump | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $7,031 | +$3,013 +43% | 28 |
| 634d | Aluftan | Inflation 60+ times | BuyYes68¢ → 0¢ | $2,948 | −$2,948 −100% | 25 |
| 635d | lug | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $1,729 | −$1,729 −100% | 24 |
| 635d | Bang...2 fills | Inflation 50+ times | BuyYes90¢ → 0¢ | $8,796 | −$8,796 −100% | 21 |
| 637d | Bang... | Inflation 60+ times | BuyYes74¢ → 0¢ | $1,332 | −$1,332 −100% | 22 |
| 637d | Bang... | Inflation 40+ times | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,967 | +$126 +6.4% | 20 |
| 638d | 0.2 | Good Afternoon | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,486 | −$44 −3.0% | — |
| 638d | Nowhere-Man | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo79¢ → 0¢ | $1,641 | −$1,641 −100% | 21 |
| 640d | 0.2 | Good Afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$31 +2.1% | 20 |
| 640d |  trumpetplayer | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo79¢ → 0¢ | $2,370 | +$2,370 +100% | — |
| 641d | HD8 | Good Afternoon | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,428 | +$44 +3.1% | 20 |
| 650d | SeeAndHear | Good Afternoon | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,134 | +$66 +3.1% | 20 |
| 653d | Car | Good Afternoon | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,227 | −$43 −3.5% | — |
| 654d | affs207913 fills | Good Afternoon | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $9,188 | +$312 +3.4% | 20 |
| 654d |  Merlot | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo87¢ → 0¢ | $1,046 | −$1,046 −100% | 20 |
| 656d |  chensoft | Good Afternoon | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | −$43 −4.2% | — |
| 660d | chensoft | Good Afternoon | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$83 +4.2% | 20 |
| 661d | trumpetplayer2 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $7,100 | −$7,100 −100% | 20 |
| 662d | dududududu | Good Afternoon | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | −$56 −5.3% | — |
| 663d | petanimal | Inflation 60+ times | BuyYes72¢ → 0¢ | $1,440 | −$1,440 −100% | 20 |
Fartard611 shares
Bank.170 sharesThis is a market group over what Jerome Powell will say during his January 29 press conference.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Trump means the market gives it about 0%.