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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation 60+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Distortion | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Inflation 40+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Inflation 50+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Percent 20+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Food / Energy 3+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Dollar 2+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Supreme Court | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gold / Oil | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fed / Federal Reserve 7+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nothing 3+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Comment | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pandemic | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sorry / Pardon | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Collect / Collected | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Delayed / Delay | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Successor | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Affordability | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Not our job | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Politics | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Speculate / Speculation | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Simulation | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Balance Sheet | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Signal | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Good Afternoon | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Refund | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Volatile | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Recession | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| War | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Housing | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Iran | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 219d |  Bertapotamous | Inflation 50+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,276 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 219d | HornyBibi2 fills | Inflation 50+ times | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,471 | +$383 +11% | 20 |
| 219d |  scout | Recession | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 219d | BrightSpringFox | AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,022 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 219d |  Debosnys | Signal | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,781 | +$29 +1.0% | 20 |
| 219d | Debosnys | Comment | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,747 | +$28 +1.0% | 20 |
| 219d | BrightSpringFox | Successor | SellYes>99¢ | $1,094 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | Debosnys | Housing | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,096 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 219d |  noreasapa | Good Afternoon | SellYes>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 219d | noreasapa | Pandemic | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,237 | +$23 +1.0% | 20 |
| 219d |  NeoSay10 | Percent 20+ times | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,657 | +$142 +8.5% | 20 |
| 219d | apple-pi | Volatile | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 219d | noreasapa | Good Afternoon | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,071 | +$39 +0.2% | 20 |
| 219d | GCNO14 fills | Good Afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $22,687 | +$355 +1.6% | 20 |
| 219d |  pemul1s | Good Afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $24,463 | +$499 +2.0% | 20 |
| 219d | simpledue | Gold / Oil | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,652 | +$87 +5.3% | 20 |
| 219d | 5551ab3 fills | Good Afternoon | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $21,120 | +$318 +1.5% | 20 |
| 219d | Hoch | Good Afternoon | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$17 +1.0% | 20 |
| 219d | terwan | AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,208 | +$619 +51% | 20 |
| 219d | 0xe617…f251 | Good Afternoon | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$11 +0.7% | 20 |
| 219d | ForgetAboutBenjamin2 fills | Good Afternoon | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $31,945 | +$263 +0.8% | 20 |
| 219d |  bamesjond2 fills | Good Afternoon | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $19,442 | +$223 +1.1% | 20 |
| 219d |  Hu-Yaobang | Good Afternoon | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | +$13 +1.2% | 20 |
| 219d | grgrrrgrgrgrr | Good Afternoon | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,192 | +$87 +1.2% | 20 |
| 219d | Suspicious-Enrollment | Good Afternoon | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,476 | +$18 +1.3% | 20 |
| 220d | volynets | Volatile | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$42 +2.1% | 21 |
| 220d | LisaBoyer5810 | Simulation | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,813 | +$247 +14% | 24 |
| 221d | JoshuaClark2252 | Not our job | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$212 +20% | 23 |
| 222d | xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx | Good Afternoon | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,157 | +$31 +2.7% | 20 |
ArghhhMatey730 sharesJerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on March 18, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If no such statement happens by March 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Inflation 60+ times means the market gives it about 0%.