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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Good Afternoon | 100% | +3 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tariff | 100% | +3 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Inflation 60+ times | 100% | +65 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Inflation 40+ times | 100% | +11 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −40 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Immigrant/Immigration | 100% | +34 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Unemployment 8+ times | 100% | +27 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Inflation 50+ times | 100% | +31 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tariff 5+ times | 100% | +23 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tariff 10+ times | 100% | +76 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Price 15+ times | 100% | +28 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Recession | 100% | +65 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China | 0% | −52 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| AI/Artificial Intelligence | 0% | −21 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Growth 8+ times | 100% | +48 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cut 7+ times | 0% | −19 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tightening | 100% | +57 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Deport/Deportation | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Soft Landing | 0% | −32 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 583d |  noreasapa | Inflation 60+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,396 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 583d |  Burnmoneyuser | Inflation 60+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,650 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 583d | 321123 | Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,216 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 583d |  Debosnys2 fills | Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,685 | +$30 +1.1% | 20 |
| 583d | 321123 | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,123 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 583d |  gopfan2 | Inflation 60+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,496 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 583d |  TheWolfOfPoly | Inflation 60+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | +$30 +1.0% | 20 |
| 583d | noreasapa | Inflation 60+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | +$30 +1.0% | 20 |
| 583d | noreasapa | Good Afternoon | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 583d |  rWallStreetBets💎 | Inflation 60+ times | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,454 | −$32 −2.2% | — |
| 583d | Burnmoneyuser | Inflation 40+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,325 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 583d |  Gumba | Inflation 60+ times | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,123 | +$63 +5.6% | 20 |
| 583d |  donjo | Tightening | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,115 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 583d | noreasapa | Tariff 10+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,228 | +$23 +1.0% | 20 |
| 583d | gopfan2 | Inflation 40+ times | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | +$145 +13% | 20 |
| 583d | VvVv2 fills | Good Afternoon | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,335 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 583d |  AgricultureSecretary | Good Afternoon | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 583d | TheWolfOfPoly | Tariff | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,514 | +$30 +2.0% | 20 |
| 583d |  Axios | Tariff | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$34 +3.4% | 20 |
| 583d |  Dropper | Good Afternoon | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,034 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 583d |  dududududu | Inflation 40+ times | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,366 | −$186 −14% | — |
| 583d | esac2 fills | Good Afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,537 | +$50 +2.0% | 20 |
| 583d |  mr.ozi3 fills | Good Afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,911 | +$89 +2.3% | 20 |
| 583d |  BillyRayValentine | Trump | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,763 | +$335 +12% | 20 |
| 583d |  RiseAndSunny2 fills | Trump | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $3,400 | +$535 +16% | 20 |
| 583d |  KimJonEn | Good Afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,097 | +$43 +2.0% | 20 |
| 583d | 8284 fills | Trump | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $13,311 | +$1,485 +11% | 20 |
| 584d | Isaak👴2 fills | Good Afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,355 | +$107 +2.4% | 20 |
| 584d | mr.ozi2 fills | Trump | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $6,748 | −$805 −12% | — |
| 584d | Doggieson6 fills | Unemployment 8+ times | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $9,180 | +$2,579 +28% | 20 |
| 585d | affs20791 | Good Afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,278 | +$47 +2.1% | 20 |
| 585d |  AuthenticDemigod | Price 15+ times | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | +$339 +33% | 24 |
| 585d | AuthenticDemigod | Inflation 40+ times | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,863 | +$240 +13% | 22 |
| 585d | dududududu2 fills | Inflation 40+ times | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $3,037 | +$476 +16% | 21 |
| 587d |  scrooge | Tariff | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,952 | +$159 +2.7% | 20 |
| 587d | mr.ozi2 fills | Trump | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,699 | +$619 +11% | 21 |
| 587d |  TheFund | Trump | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,365 | +$135 +9.9% | 21 |
| 588d | Isaak👴 | Trump | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,808 | +$278 +9.9% | 21 |
| 589d | xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx | Inflation 60+ times | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $1,027 | −$1,027 −100% | 22 |
| 589d | dududududu2 fills | Immigrant/Immigration | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $3,638 | +$1,756 +48% | 20 |
| 593d |  moneymakermars | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 20 |
| 595d | dududududu | Immigrant/Immigration | SellNo37¢ → 0¢ | $1,556 | +$1,556 +100% | — |
| 604d |  iamhungry | Trump | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,568 | +$194 +12% | 20 |
| 618d | Doggieson | Immigrant/Immigration | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$949 +86% | 20 |
| 618d | NamelessG | Inflation 40+ times | BuyNo18¢ → 0¢ | $1,250 | −$1,250 −100% | 21 |
| 627d | Doggieson | Tariff 5+ times | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$529 +26% | 20 |
| 627d | Doggieson | Price 15+ times | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$706 +35% | 20 |
0xgigachad794 sharesJerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on March 19, 2025, at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will not count. If no such statement happens by April, 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Trump means the market gives it about 0%.