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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good afternoon | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Inflation 40+ times | 100% | −4 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Inflation 50+ times | 0% | −49 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Unemployment / Employment 25+ times | 100% | +35 pts | +13 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump | 0% | −2 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Inflation 60+ times | 0% | −5 pts | −9 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 100% | −3 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Feedback | 0% | −37 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dissent | 100% | +5 pts | −7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pandemic | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Recession | 0% | +2 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tariff 15+ times | 0% | −33 pts | −37 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sorry | 100% | −8 pts | −1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Update | 0% | +10 pts | +7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Edging 3+ times | 0% | +2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Meeting 9+ times | 100% | +12 pts | +31 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Possibility | 100% | +14 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mandate 6+ times | 0% | −69 pts | −64 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Stagflation | 0% | +3 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Variable | 100% | +2 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 359d |  Allinnothing | Inflation 50+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,029 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 359d |  Infringe | Inflation 50+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,910 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 359d |  scout | Inflation 50+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$7 +0.7% | 20 |
| 359d | JimmySchnitzel | Inflation 50+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,357 | +$10 +0.7% | 20 |
| 359d | scout2 fills | Unemployment / Employment 25+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,639 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 359d | scout | Variable | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,006 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 359d | scout | Update | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,006 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 359d |  Bertapotamous2 fills | Tariff 15+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,784 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 359d | Infringe | Unemployment / Employment 25+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,371 | +$10 +0.4% | 20 |
| 359d | StudentMoney | Inflation 40+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $3,495 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 359d | pbshine | Trump | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,329 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 359d | StudentMoney | Inflation 40+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,978 | +$20 +1.0% | 20 |
| 359d |  TheWolfOfPoly | AI / Artificial Intelligence | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,961 | +$39 +1.3% | 20 |
| 359d | JigglyPuff | AI / Artificial Intelligence | BuyNo78¢ → 0¢ | $1,794 | −$1,794 −100% | 20 |
| 359d | esac5 fills | Good afternoon | SellYes>99¢ | $13,986 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 359d | 0xB293041092384012 fills | Dissent | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,490 | +$510 +20% | 20 |
| 359d | 0x552702e9e7969eab6518426a94ab2813d4f36c86 | Good afternoon | SellYes>99¢ | $1,211 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 359d | affs20791 | Trump | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | +$117 +11% | 20 |
| 359d |  MettaWorldPeace00 | Good afternoon | SellYes>99¢ | $6,192 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 359d |  noreasapa | Good afternoon | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 359d |  MichaelJacksonn | Good afternoon | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,850 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 359d |  duderr | Good afternoon | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,601 | +$35 +0.3% | 20 |
| 359d | noreasapa | Good afternoon | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,880 | +$20 +0.3% | 20 |
| 359d | BryanPunishMK22 | Good afternoon | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,945 | +$55 +1.1% | 20 |
| 359d | Ronaldo2100 | Good afternoon | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,945 | +$55 +1.1% | 20 |
| 359d | DooBieZ | Good afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,307 | +$23 +1.7% | 20 |
| 359d | pantomime | Good afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,951 | +$49 +1.6% | 20 |
| 359d | esac2 fills | Good afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $22,999 | +$401 +1.7% | 20 |
| 359d | MettaWorldPeace002 fills | Good afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,922 | +$85 +1.7% | 20 |
| 359d | .brain. | Good afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,611 | +$28 +1.7% | 20 |
| 359d | Vilgefortz | Good afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,942 | +$58 +2.0% | 20 |
| 359d | AZwater2 fills | Good afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,323 | +$85 +2.0% | 20 |
| 359d | Imperfect-Beetle | Good afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,830 | +$170 +1.7% | 20 |
| 359d | 5551ab2 fills | Good afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,652 | +$103 +1.5% | 20 |
| 359d | VorpalQuark | Good afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,374 | +$118 +1.9% | 20 |
| 359d | RammmP02 | Inflation 60+ times | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,031 | +$211 +20% | 20 |
| 360d | mwenya | Trump | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,767 | +$234 +13% | 20 |
| 360d | Lolololol3 fills | Good afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $8,358 | +$149 +1.8% | 20 |
| 361d | cocococococo | Inflation 40+ times | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,271 | +$243 +19% | 23 |
| 361d | 22BB3 fills | Trump | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,846 | +$539 +11% | 20 |
| 361d | MB3B | Good afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$30 +2.0% | 20 |
| 364d | chickenwatermelon | Good afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,136 | +$84 +1.6% | 20 |
| 378d | nangongyingque2 fills | Good afternoon | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $15,368 | +$349 +2.3% | 20 |
Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on October 29, 2025, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such statement happens by October 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the FOMC Press conference.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Good afternoon means the market gives it about 100%.