Polymarket · CryptoClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prison | 100% | +24 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Silk Road | 100% | +27 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Coin 25+ | 0% | −79 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Freedom | 100% | +10 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pardon / Pardoned | 100% | +26 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Coin 35+ | 0% | −55 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Coin 50+ | 0% | −16 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Memecoin | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Satoshi | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| A.I / Artificial Intelligence | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump 3+ | 100% | +31 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| America | 0% | −60 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| FBI | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Blockchain | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ethereum | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bank | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 512d | durial321 | Coin 25+ | SellNo>99¢ | $3,380 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 512d | Coin 50+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,177 | +$12 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 512d | Coin 35+ | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,007 | +$91 +2.3% | 2 | |
| 512d | Coin 25+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,611 | +$36 +1.4% | 2 | |
| 512d | championsenjoyer | Coin 50+ | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,539 | +$250 +16% | 2 |
| 512d | Torito | Coin 25+ | BuyYes74¢ → 0¢ | $1,055 | −$1,055 −100% | 2 |
| 512d | Prison | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $19,127 | +$3,200 +17% | 2 | |
| 513d | Summer17 | Silk Road | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,498 | +$560 +37% | 2 |
| 513d | Coin 25+ | BuyNo37¢ → 100¢ | $1,123 | +$1,913 +170% | 5 | |
| 513d | Freedom | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,191 | +$127 +5.8% | 2 |
Ross Ulbricht is scheduled to address the Bitcoin 2025 conference on May 29 at 5:05 PM PT (https://b.tc/conference/2025/agenda). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ulbricht says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the specified scheduled speech Ulbricht gives at this event. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not made available by May 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the video of the event.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Prison means the market gives it about 100%.